September 3, 2020 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lord Simba | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Iwishiwaspecial | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I Am the Man | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tbtwelve | 1.80 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Team Tim | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Driven by Thunder | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Americano | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Northern Heart | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Da Winner Is | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Perfetto | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wilko’s Goldeneye | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Charging Lion | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Steadytillready | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hide the Ransom | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tip for Tap | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cam’s Carter | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Branco Maria | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Keeping the Peace | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baby Boomer | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Smart Warrior | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vern H | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bambino | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thunder Day | 1.60 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Happy Guy | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Appraised | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Still the One | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | One Slick Chick | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kit Kat Katie | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Car Lady | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aspen Rose | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hydra | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Fionnuala | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tilaka | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Corrigan | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No One to Blame | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kake’scharmingboy | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Recycle | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Sea Captain | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Gun Law | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gonna Win It | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Palace Intrigue | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Tio Juan | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Trifor Gold | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ark in the Dark | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Vision of Thanos | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Annamated Moon | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crosstime | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ace Nine Nine | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | My Danny Boy | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tonka Flower | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Super Constitution | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scorpion Dynasty | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Change Hands | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magic Mule | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ego Man | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Niner Tango | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.