September 2, 2020 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 2 | Iranistan | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5A | 5 | Taper Tantrum (IRE) | 1.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bodes Well (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Noah And The Ark (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | New Member (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maccabee | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cracker Factory (GB) | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Show Court (IRE) | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mutasaawy | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Madam Deputy | 1.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Buffet | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hey It’s Tati | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grape Therapy | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vinda Machine | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Empress Luciana | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Nashville | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Democratic Values | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Southerner | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Breithorn | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Searing Chase | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Twelfth Labour | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rejected Again | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Malthael | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Castle Casanova | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Mr. Shortandsimple | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12A | 9 | Bad Guy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pepper Pike | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bobbyfromthepalm | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cause of Action | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bad Beat Brian | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Megacity | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Manoffire | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Brunate | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ringgood | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Suspect | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Talespin | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Have a Heart | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lorenzen | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Boston Billy | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Gratto Swing | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I Prowl Alone | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Golconda | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 6 | City Temper | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 14 | 7 | Miss Charisma | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Doll | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Quasar | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Shannon’s Girl | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Stunning Munnings | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vevey | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Alley to Calvary | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mo Me Mo My | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Abby Normal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Voting Agreement | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Corey Scores | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Saratoga Love | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Touch of Nirvana | 50.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Unrighteous | 0.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bluegrass Parkway | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Cowtown | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 4 | Willing to Speed | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gauguin (GER) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mini P (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Junkanoo | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tide of the Sea | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Succeedandsurpass (IRE) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Proquestor | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Our Last Buck | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Control Group | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Evaluator | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freaky Styley | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Blugrascat’s Smile | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yankee Division | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – With Anticipation S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Fire At Will | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blame the Booze | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Winfromwithin | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Zippy Baby | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | American Monarch | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Nathan Detroit | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 9 | Pier Forty | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Selfmade | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Diannesimpazible | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 15 | 8 | True Palace | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Nightspot | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Brickyard | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | K. K. Ichikawa | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Money in the Bank | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spiritual King | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sidd Finch | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Justintimeforwine | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bricco | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Perfect Banker | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Storm Alfeet | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Cin Cin Cowboy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Jack Russel | 50.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.