August 28, 2020 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – New York Stallion S. (times Square Div)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Slash Gordon | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dream Bigger | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Captain Bombastic | 0.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chowda | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ariesberg | 50.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4 | Come Storming | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Hurricane Breeze | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Princess Fawzia | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Kemba | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Timeless Journey | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Al’s Gal | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Make Or Break | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Herwaze | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Principal Dancer | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Continuum | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rejected Again | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Our American Star | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | I Saw It All | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wardenofthenorth | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Bank On This | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Swordsman | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cobble Hill | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stage Left | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mister Bobby | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic West | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Southern Bridge | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queen’s Mason | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Party At Page’s | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Violentiam | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | She’s a Majestic | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ruby Stiletto | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | B C Belle | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tangerine Dream | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | U Should B Dancing | 15.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dance Hall Queen | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | The Promised Road | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Herald Angel | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Rock N Warrior | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Blame It On Mary | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Chilly Choos | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Rosies Surprise | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Black Magic Woman | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Rocket | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Barista Vixen | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Back Channel | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dovima | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rapido Gatta | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Venus Oyzo | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sayyaaf | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Backtohisroots | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rocket Heat | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ghoul (BRZ) | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | New York’s Finest | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honey Won’t | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Matta | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | Battle Station | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thomas Shelby | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Big Engine | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mad Munnys | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13A | 13 | Runaway Lute | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Fast Getaway | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Irish Front | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Medagliad’oro | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blindwillie McTell | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Famished | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fed Funds | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Night Time | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Sicarii | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Lake George S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Melania | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Micheline | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cat’s Pajamas | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Windracer (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Witez | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Selflessly | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Sassy Sarah | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sugar Fix | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Velvet Crush | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | American Giant | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Peppina | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Cainudothetwist | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Spin Your Partner | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Beyond Brown | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Red Button | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Memories Eternal | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Mizzen the Mark | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tonilee | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Della Lute | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Madam Deputy | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Adorable Maya | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Tuck In | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.