August 28, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kate Boss | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Investment Grade | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maxim Strider | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Judy With Grace | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Esperer (FR) | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mamba Queen | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Del Mar Flash | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Call Sign Fifi | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aspen Again | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pretty Saylee | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Keep Dancing | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miss Mo’ Licious | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Last First Kiss | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Overwhelming Love | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | This Tea | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Himiko | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Go Time | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Seeking Refuge | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | He’s Like Violence | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honos Man | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Show Business | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | East Rand | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big City Bane | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tromador | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Single Me Out | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Final Final | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mr Right Now | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Big Hoof Dynamite | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zorich | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Debt Monger | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vodka Twist | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Knifes Edge | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alvaaro | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Self Taught | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Full Draw | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | K P D Day | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vegas Moon | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Temple Secret | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spanish Count | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Palace Prince | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Juror | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Indy | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Infatuate | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Reign of Fire | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Afleet Diva | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | September Secret | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Exchange Vows | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fireitup | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Righteously | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ready Jet Go | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brilliant Cut | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Simmer Down | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carpe Fortuna | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pizzazz | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Map to My Heart | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quinevere (GER) | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Costa Rica | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Supernova Wildcat | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Freedom Flyer | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Tranquility Lake S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hang a Star | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Proud Emma | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Message | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zusha | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smiling Shirlee | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Constantia | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Give Up | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Journal Entry | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Naughty Evelyn | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Brandons Danger | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | M Fast | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unbreakable | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Minx | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alicia’s Pride | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Quiet Secretary | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lookin So Lucky | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cheerful Charm | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Katsaros | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Prudent | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.