August 28, 2020 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kingsbury Dream | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kuringai | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heart’s Passion | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Enchilada | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Samis Car | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m That Bird | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cooler Schedule | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Fixico | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coming Up Aces | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Medal of Fact | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carolina Airness | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One Tough Charlie | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Charliecando | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Burl | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Turfmeister | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sammys Dream | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cloud to Ground | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Milburn | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wazzup Chuck | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Violator | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mister Charming | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lost Kingdom | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jackfruit | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Case Cracker | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Patsy J | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sister Ruler | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stopshoppingamy | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Palago | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Two Turn Tammy | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | White Lies | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Placati | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Summer’s Winner | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fort Ridge | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fort Commander | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Christian C | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Timingiseverything | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Braddock | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saturdays Hangover | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Expect Elprada | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Landing Gear | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Trappe Valley | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Liberal Lunacy | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Can’t Hide From Me | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tough Stuff | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Good Bye Greg | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Impressed | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Canary Islands | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stormin El Prado | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Seven Seventeen | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Colorofacloud | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | La Negra Noche | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Polly War Cry | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Goodnight Irene | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Well Hello You | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hot Pepper Suzie | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Better Than Pearls | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stolen Glance | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | King Richie | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Driver Dan | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Agave Kid | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Delaney | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bee Happy Attack | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Skeeterskeets | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Will Ya Win Sum | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Magic Jack | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lastfortinofamily | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Captain Carnegie | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Hit | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | To the Bank | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.