August 27, 2020 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | After Prom Party | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Imperio D | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic View | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady’s Boy | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Posse Can Disco | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Apex Predator | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Never Hold Back | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Prairie Wings | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Witch Moon | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forty Zip | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fashion Mo | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ceant | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | All Others Follow (GB) | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | Monarchs Glen (GB) | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seismic Wave | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Sentry | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Empire of War | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ninety One Assault | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Sand Dancer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Value Proposition (GB) | 1.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Judicial Restraint | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Height | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tactician | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Corkman | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7A | 7 | Bubba Chuck | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Ned | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz Envy | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Fidget | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4B | 2 | Duncastle | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 3 | Preamble | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Outrageous Bet | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Axtell | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3A | 3 | Dowse’s Beach | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5B | 5 | Shamrocked | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Dirty | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Ghost Giant | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Banana Thief | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10A | 10 | Chateau | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11A | 11 | Eye Luv Lulu | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 1 | Little Red Frog | 1.20 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Glass Ceiling | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Gone Glimmering | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10B | 6 | Mosienko | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4B | 3 | Leaveuwithasmile | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Chaysenbryn | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | More Mango | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Flashing Red | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lake Chicot | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Make Or Break | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bella Rose | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Smart N Fancy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | Introduced | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Peaceful | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Miss Gossip (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Victory Kingdom (AUS) | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Saratoga Treasure | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rose Flower (GER) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Getmotherarose | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | A Great Time | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Texas Swing | 1.40 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Danny California | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One Eyed Jack | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mischief Afoot | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Will Sing for Wine | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Creative Style | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Robin Sparkles | 1.20 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Secure Connection | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Me Mo My | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Overheated | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Mischief | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Wicked Amber | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Big Bennys Tribute | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saratoga Love | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Jades Gelly | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.