August 27, 2020 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Memory Bank | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Blue Sky Kowboy | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cammack | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Changi | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Devileye | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Sir Anthony | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | What’s Up Dude | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Detour | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sharperthanme | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Magna | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Godsgift | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Don’t Want to Go | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rare Action Attack | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amazing Annie | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rangoon Attack | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rosie Bear | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Notacatbutacard | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Never Have I Ever (IRE) | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Welovecandy | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Mongol Bull | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wake Up Joe | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 5 | One Way Home | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ed’s Rocket | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Power Cry | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Dance | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hey Hey | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Logi | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Fort Marsh | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bit Money | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cook Memories | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | R Marie | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tinderella | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Countess St Michel | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Snip | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Sky Freak | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Of Note | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Straight Up Smarty | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Retro Street | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rejoice an Be Glad | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Angel’s Run | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Lady Warrior | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Oriental Lady | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Little Chick | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | High On Sugar | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Creative Courage | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | River Evangelist | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Money Machine | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | McHenry | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lemon Blitz | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | You Split Tens | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Giacallure | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honest to Goodness | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kenai Cool | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kiana’s Love | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Express | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | American Biz | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rachelgotstephen | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Idol | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Edisto Island | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Love Broke Thru | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Boohoo Sue | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hal’s Mischief | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Alien Season | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jeggyjeggy | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | D J Soul Sista | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Do Not Enter | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Knockyourblockoff | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | No Cents Left | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | R H Smoakem | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Boom Box | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Club Soda | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Offlee Fun | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flyingbyu | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.