August 21, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Hurley | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Flawless (FR) | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Quinnie | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lexington Grace (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Peach Time | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clearly Gone | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kittyhawk Lass | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Natural History | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hidden Promise | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Promise Nothing | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Drippin Sauce | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shootin Money | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eustace | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Great Ulysses | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tizhotndusty | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Builder | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Score | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Murad Khan (FR) | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jasikan (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Calexman | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ole Silver | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Magnolia’s Hope | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shez Our Arch | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Faded Love | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jan Jan Can | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Get’em Tiger | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Little Miss Ellie | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Keep It Classy | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Evening Sonnet | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Buy Wave Buy | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Scooby | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Finding Silver | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ingest | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Warrens Candy Man | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Fish | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Teton Valley | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Proud Musket | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Talker | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Investment Account | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Govenor’s Party | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dennis Celery | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Papa Turf | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Castle Gate | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | King Parker | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Black Storm | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Adens Dream | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Fire When Ready | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | J Serino | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Write Me a Song | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Rickey B | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | R Cha Cha | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Punaluu | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Midnight Destiny | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Royal Seeker | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mike Operator | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Street Behavior | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Next Revolt | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiger’s Song | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hudson River Park | 1.60 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | World Affairs | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Agent Zero | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sharp Speaker | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Drink to That | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kazansky | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ziyanair | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bigfoot City | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Gee Gee Whiz | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Santiago’s Tower | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Starship Chewy | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Leggs Galore | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smiling Annie | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hotitude | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Liberalism | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Give Me a Hint | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Queensbeccaandjane | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Habobanero | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Adorably Sweet | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Plum Wild | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shylock Eddie | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Marjorie E | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sofi’s Gold | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Square Peggy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Rancho Bernardo H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Unique Factor | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amuse | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sneaking Out | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Into Chocolate | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Artistic Diva | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gingham | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mucho Amor | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mother of Dragons | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rockie Causeway | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eddie’s Sister | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nina En Fuego | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pushing Sixty | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rose’s Crystal | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | New Heat | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cassie Belle | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kiss of Congrats | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Too Hot for Curlin | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lakaya | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Spanish Channel | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Big Minx | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Ride Sally Ride | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Starship Sky | 30.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.