August 16, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Embodied | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweetest Angel | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Basilia | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Chicks Dig Munny | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Frazzled | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nurturing | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Qahira | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Proud Emma | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Morning Cynn | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | First Star | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sanenus (CHI) | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Paid Informant | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Principal | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mohemian Rhapsody | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Been Studying Her | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Biddy Duke | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Meso | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rather Nosy | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shanghai Truffles | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mylittlerunaway | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kristi’s Tiger | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sabinos Pride | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Horse Greedy | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | I’m Busy | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Posterize | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pure Comedy | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Plum Dandy | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Harvest a Storm | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oh Marvelous Me | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Brix | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Factorial | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Summer Fire | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eskimo Roses | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Cheddar | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rossman | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Show Business | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Severin | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mantaray Island | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Next Flight | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mongolian Hero | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bodega | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Signofthecross | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Indy Jones | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Speakerofthehouse | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gryffindor | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Super Classic | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Georgian Road | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Watch Cairo | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Agronomo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Harper’s Gallop | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hot On the Trail | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nice Ice | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Warrior’s Moon | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charmingslew | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Donut Girl | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magnificent Q T | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nocherylikemychery | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | D’s Lovely Sophia | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Drop the Mic | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | North Pole | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Defunded | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Man Friday | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mega Mischief | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Texas Playboy | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wyfire | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bolu | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Ctt And Toc S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Blame Judy | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maxim Rate | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Siberian Iris (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pretty Point | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ms Peintour | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quick (GB) | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Imperial Creed | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Over Thinking | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Catch the Eye | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Meal Ticket | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Betito | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Poise to Strike | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | U. S. Danger | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bedrock | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Floyd Moneymaker | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Endless Tale | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nickel Curve | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Boy Andy | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Derby War | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Cleveland Cat | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Hot Socks | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.