August 15, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Sweet Honor | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pasito | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Canadian Ginger | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Thunder Woman | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sherilinda | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | La Croix | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Musically | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Renella | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Seiche | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Direct Line | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Mystery | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Canadian Pride | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Disco Ball | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Adare | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Graziano | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tilted Towers | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Much More Halo | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cem Sultan | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Daddy Rabbit | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Most Sandisfactory | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Port Saint Joe | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Acting Cat | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Convex | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ronamo | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Journey | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mongolian Legend | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Negotiator | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Takeo | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alvaaro | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Caisson | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Papale | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eagle in the Sky | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | El Joy | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zoffa | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heliochrome | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Raisebeforetheflop | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Cozy Bear | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lemon Drop Shot | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Father O’Flaherty | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | C’Mon Jenna | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rousing Slammer | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Blue Star | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paisano | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Call Sign Lucky | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Broken Finger | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hit the Seam | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dreamer’s Reality | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Foothill | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Doc Tommy | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Foster Boi | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zipper Mischief | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Undeniable Proof | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Johnny Podres | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scouted | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jamming Eddy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Illumination | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Park Avenue | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kalypso | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mandragora Seeker | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Isn’t She Lovely | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shvere Arbeter | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Forest Caraway | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I’m All the Jedi | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Derby Quest | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Solana Beach S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cordiality | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mucho Unusual | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pulpit Rider | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sedamar | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kitty Boom Boom | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Sweep | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Smiling Shirlee | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | It’s Tiz Time | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tobacco Road | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lil Sydney | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zimba Warrior | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pyron | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Press Briefing | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Emerald Magic | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cause and Effect | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Luck’s Royal Flush | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Contagion | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Never Easy | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mithqaal | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Roary | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Hunted | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Acker | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pubilius Syrus | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ocean Fury | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Move Over (GB) | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Harvest a Storm | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | East Rand | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Avalanche | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Engram | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.