August 14, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Road Rager | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
9 | 8 | Norma’s Love | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
5 | 5 | Rakassah (IRE) | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
1 | 1 | Saints Paynter | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
4 | 4 | Mariah Girl (ARG) | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
7 | 7 | Magic At Midnight | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
6 | 6 | Gotham Desire | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
3 | 3 | Tip Top Gal | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
8 | 8 | Sold It | 5.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 4 | Stars of Bluegrass | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Bingos System | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
4 | 3 | Mucha Woman | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
2 | 2 | Joymaker | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
3 | 3 | Miss Glorious | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Big Mama Sue | 4.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Stratofortress | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
2 | 2 | Hot Rod Charlie | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | Run Snappy | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
7 | 6 | Get Her Number | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
6 | 5 | Commander Khai | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
3 | 3 | Harlan Estate | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
8 | 7 | Ghoster | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
5 | 4 | Ready Jet Go | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 2 | Perfect Ice Storm | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
4 | 3 | Mongolian Window | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
8 | 7 | Destiny’s Journey | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
6 | 5 | Lesedi | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
5 | 4 | Operatic | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
2 | 1 | Avalon Ride | 4.50 | 5 | 10-1 | |
7 | 6 | Senoradiablo | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | Take a Leap | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Strike At Dawn | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Raymundos Secret | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Ellie Arroway | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Tapwater | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Zee Drop | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Love and Peace (FR) | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Warren’s Empress | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
12 | 12 | Sweet Regards | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Enriched by Deb | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
10 | 10 | Chollima | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Vive l’Amour | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
9 | 9 | Arya’s Dagger | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
2 | 2 | Suezaaana | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
11 | 11 | Caught in a Trappe | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
5 | 5 | Chris Is Ready | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
3 | 3 | Big Game Plan | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
4 | 4 | Forehead Kisses | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
8 | 8 | Run Like Kona | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Mean Sophia | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
9 | 9 | Sugar Pickel | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
2 | 2 | Brittle and Yoo | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
4 | 4 | Majestic Gigi | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
3 | 3 | Jewel Thief | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
7 | 7 | Rain Diva | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
8 | 8 | Munny | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | Le Tub | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Sadie Bluegrass | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | First Empress | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
8 | 8 | Awesome Amanda | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Midnight Garden | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Miss Bennet | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Info’s Treasure | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Manresa | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Samandah | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | Billy K | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Sea of Liberty | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
7 | 7 | Jetovator | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
8 | 8 | Golden Doughnut | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
2 | 2 | Cali Caliente | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
6 | 6 | Whooping Jay | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
3 | 3 | Offshore Affair | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
9 | 9 | Bench Judge | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Make It a Triple | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
5 | 5 | Mr Right Now | 30.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.