August 12, 2020 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6A | 5 | Global Freedom (GB) | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Brianbakescookies | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zoom Zoom Zoe (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Anticipating | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fearsome (GB) | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Prayer Hope | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Court Ruler (IRE) | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Markhan | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tiz He the One | 1.20 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Releasethethunder | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strike That | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gun It | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dinar | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fluent in Sarcasm | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Daring Disguise | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shandian | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Inspector Henning | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Money in the Bank | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Victory Built | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Snappy Cat | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Hay Lad | 50.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lord Camden | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Otter | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Radiantrithym | 1.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Friend of Liberty | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Camorra | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fair Lassie | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tied Up | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dirty Bird | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whyisshesoolucky | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Digital Software | 1.40 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | Freedom Force | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Union Colonel | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Break Beat | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gunman | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scanno | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz the Journey | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Chocolate Bar | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kinky Sox | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shesasuperfreak | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bustin Scones | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saratoga Beauty | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Single Verse | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fight On Lucy | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eloquent Speaker | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Sandro the Great | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mundacious | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | South Africa | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tackle | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scuttlebuzz | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Voliero | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Neuro | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Microsecond | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jade’s Dream | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Justintimeforwine | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | A Vow of Beauty | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Make Motime | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Quick Return | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | True Palace | 50.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Liveyourbeastlife | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lil Commissioner | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Candy Tycoon | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Singapore Trader | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hunt the Front | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Unrighteous | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My First Grammy | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forza Di Oro | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Adirondack S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Thoughtfully | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucifers Lair | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Make Mischief | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lilac Lace | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ava’s Grace | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beautiful Farewell | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Deeply Analytical | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Mebs Web | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Aggravation | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Gringotts | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Love Me Tomorrow | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Mia Bea Star | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crick | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Peerless | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sander’s Empire | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Empress Luciana | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.