August 8, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dehydration | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Your Royal Coil | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sybil’s Kitty | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dorita’s Lemon | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | South Boot Shirley | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bella Renella | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Encountress | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Super Klaus | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hot On the Trail | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | A Melis | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flying Business | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Peace Pipe | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Time for Ebby | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Baby Boo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Shanghai Barbie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Fly Buddy Fly | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | N. K. Rocket Man | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Crooked Finger Ray | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jungle Roar | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Squalotoro | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Spud | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Rawhide Rawlins | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Master Ryan | 2.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Caerulean | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Humboldt | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | El Chapin | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | King Arthur | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Cal’s Gem | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Strike It Lucky | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kylemore | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | El Huerfano | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Incredible Luck | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Imagineiamfastest | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wilshire Dude | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Seven Oxen | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Treasure Hunter | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unleash the Tiger | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Summer Love | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Merneith | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mind Out | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moonhall Milly (IRE) | 3.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Going to Vegas | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beguiled | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mylittlerunaway | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roadrunner’s Honor | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Best Pal S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Roderick | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Weston | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ambivalent | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Schnell | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Girther | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Herd Immunity | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sonic Brees | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tintoretto (GER) | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tartini | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cupid’s Claws | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Macedonian Ruler (AUS) | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Camino de Estrella | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fivestar Lynch (IRE) | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Reprobate | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Stiff | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Soberano (FR) | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tacoflavoredkisses | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Flame | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alexander’s Dream | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Suzie Qzz Brother | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crash Corrigan | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Charge Cash | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ben’s a Goalie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Lino’s Back N Town | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Yellow Ribbon H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Beau Recall (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bodhicitta (GB) | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Prancealot (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Keeper Ofthe Stars | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summering | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Harmless | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tonahutu (IRE) | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jolie Olimpica (BRZ) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Spielberg | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Noble Reflection | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Superman Shaq | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Waspirant | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dr. Schivel | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Feel the Berning | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honorary Degree | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flactem Legacy | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Drivehappy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Ya Beauty (GB) | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Surround (IRE) | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Devil | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wind and Hope | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Noble Hearted | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Viazar | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bristol Bayou | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Nurse Goodbody | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lemon Drop Tini | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Addie Pray | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dolci | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frose | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.