August 7, 2020 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Petrus | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Selfmade | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spiritual King | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Diannesimpazible | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Klickitat | 1.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Broadway Joe | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Fidget | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Parson | 50.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Lookin for Trouble | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Cotton | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cobra Kai | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Seven Seven | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sandor Clegane | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bohemian Ruby | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chasing a Legacy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Super Computer | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 2 | Sun Summers | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Bean Counter | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Seeking Revenge | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Cape Cod Diva | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Tiz a Kitten | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mosienko | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Music of Life | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Gentle Annie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Puffery | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Gracetown | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Baseline Drive | 1.40 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hot Button | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Carefree Highway | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Halo City | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kemba | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mischief Reigns | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Celine | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cherokee Song | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bridlewood Cat | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fair Regis | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honor Way | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kept True | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jennemily | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Skamania | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Slimey | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vast | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Credit Enhancement | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Army Wife | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mad Maddy | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Leia Marie | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Invincible Gal (GB) | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Factoire | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tappingintosuccess | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | O’Gotten Girl | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Approval | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Saratoga Commando | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Steal My Sunshine | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Daria’s Angel | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mo Flash | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Excess Capacity | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Archumybaby | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady by Choice | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Keep Your Distance | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Beyond Discreet | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Kahen | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stay Fond | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Amos | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tatterazzi | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silky Blue | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Giacosa | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Freddymo Factor | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jen’s Battle | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wild North | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magical Romance | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fight On Lucy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Saratoga Special S. Presented By Miller Lite
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Jackie’s Warrior | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Momos | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Therideofalifetime | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Garoppolo | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pickin’ Time | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cazadero | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Market Alert | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hold the Salsa | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Papetu | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Caramel Chip | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Roderick | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Microcap | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dipping In | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tilsa | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Yellen | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tesorina | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jasminesque | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Morality Clause | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mudslide Wicked | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Roma Carpe | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Leiha | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lady Commissioner | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.