August 6, 2020 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Vice Grip | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Negra Noche | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ashleysdream | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sundance Chick | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rend Lake Baby | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | W W Valid | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Shez Stuck Up | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Magic Man’s Touch | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ugo | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Freakin Joe | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bold Attack | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magi | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Prince | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prudent Hero | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Room to Finish | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oh So Terrible | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Latest Version | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Diamonds Are A | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Russian Mafia | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Carissa Crismas | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kuora (PER) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Orcus | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gold Hawk | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cadet Captain | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rich E Z | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Saturdays Hangover | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Landing Gear | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sumner | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fort Ramsey | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sydney’s Treasure | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wildwood Maggie | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lilys From Paris | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Laura Attack | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Executive Time | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Millie | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cocoa Peach | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 6 | Bizzee Channel | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stock Trade | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Exprompt (FR) | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | River Cactus | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | And Won | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Girlolamo’glory | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Merlin’s Song | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Violator | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Iwillpersevere | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Landofthepharaohs | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | No Boundaries | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Roar of the Lion | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prince Arlo | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Starlin | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Contraction | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Al Taweel | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Slick as a Pin | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Midnight Joker | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dancin Nicky | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tornado Boy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Summer Castle | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | River Evangelist | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dragunov | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Christian C | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fort Ridge | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Behind Enemy Lines | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Cents Left | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fort Dixie | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Volgograd | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Golden Gift | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fleetway | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.