Sports from the Basement

Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Monday, August 3, 2020

August 3, 2020 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Blind Spot Bandit 2.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Lil Shiny Wagon 5.00 3 6-1
5 4 Brins Koollilokey 3.50 3.2 6-1
4 3 Mf Docs Corona 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 Stormin Hot Rowdy 10.00 5 9-1
7 6 This Jess Can Dash 8.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Jess Lippy 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Regal Tales 2.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Hennessy B 4.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Girl Paint 6.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Eye Fly With Eagles 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 Df Kates Wagon 8.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Valiant Shake 15.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Apollitical Prize 10.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Serious Combination 15.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 First of 15 3.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Docs Kansas Rep 4.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Damn Strait 2.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Saginaw Creek 6.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Ferrari James 5.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Polar Xpress 8.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Jestagoodoldboy 10.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 A Valiant Diamond 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Andrews Boogie 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 R V T Thunder Road 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Knowyouroptions 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Martini Thursday 5.00 3 6-1
5 5 Quana Dude 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Yak 10.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sparkle O Mine 2.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Napili 3.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Social Circle 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Sattersfield 5.00 3 6-1
3 3 Close to Me 2.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Irish Music 10.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pepper Prince 2.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Not Rocket Science 4.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Gio Nasty One 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Knight Commander 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Kaluga Bob 5.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Take Me Up Brady 6.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Illuminatingappeal 1.80 1.3 2-1
6 6 Suspect a Storm 2.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Rooster Bay 3.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Theboyfromjersey 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Titochip 10.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Risky Forest 10.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Chuckmate 15.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Greedy Creedy 3.50 1.1 2-1
5 5 Masterofmatrimony 4.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Gone With the Finn 3.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Tap the Brakes 10.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Nosbor 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Super Scorpio 10.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Alittlebitoflime 15.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Ministry of Art 20.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Who’s Big Daddy 20.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Bottomless 30.00 9.1 17-1
11 11 Lord of the Palace 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Applicant 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Vandring 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Smoky Smoke 2.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 Philosopher 3.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Daddy Dave 4.50 1.9 4-1
9 9 Done Wondering 10.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Ready Or Not 10.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Awesome Max 15.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Kilwa 20.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Gerdy’s Boy 20.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Beachhead 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pinson 3.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Hour City 5.00 2 4-1
2 2 Chris and Dave 2.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Downtowner 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Dukes Up 15.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 L. A. Tower 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Carouse 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Pay Dirt 2.50 2.3 4-1
9 9 Pyser’s Orb 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 That’s Something 5.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Saracen 10.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Country Boy Charm 10.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Limbo’s Promise 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Chitto 15.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Funandfunny 30.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Vinum 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Serbian Sailor 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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