Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 2, 2020

August 2, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Julius 2.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Zestful 1.60 3 6-1
4 4 Blame It On Kitty 5.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Justin’s Quest 5.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Secret Touch 4.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Invincibella (GB) 4.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Sapori Girl 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Red Bunting (IRE) 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Kleen Karma 4.00 3 6-1
3 3 Kalliniki 3.50 3.3 6-1
8 7 Gallantlystreaming (IRE) 20.00 5 9-1
5 5 Brahms Command 20.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Prima Valentina 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Graduation S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Scooby 5.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Good With People 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Positivity 4.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Touchdown Brown 2.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Jazz Hands 5.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 None Above the Law 15.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Rantanen 12.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Grazen Honor 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Seaside Dancer 2.50 3.5 7-1
7 5 Red Livy (IRE) 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 4 Swirling 6.00 5.1 10-1
8 6 Lucky Peridot 4.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Devils Dance 3.50 5.3 10-1
1 1 Watch Me Burn 15.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Magical Gray 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Square Peggy 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Moreavino 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 3 True Mischief 12.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Sapphire Silk 15.00 4.6 9-1
11 10 Polar Route 8.00 4.7 9-1
8 7 Our Bonnie Lass 8.00 5 9-1
3 2 Soothing 2.50 5 9-1
2 1 Gotta Be Lucky 3.50 5.3 10-1
10 9 Our Romance 4.00 5.5 10-1
9 8 What a Family 12.00 5.7 11-1
5 4 Turkish Angel 30.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Tenga’s Jubilee 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 8 Facts Matter 5.00 5.8 11-1
14 14 Hydrogen 20.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Conquest Cobra 6.00 6.6 13-1
4 3 Vander Kelen 8.00 7.1 13-1
7 6 P R Radio Star 2.00 7.1 13-1
5 4 Mayan Warrior 12.00 7.2 14-1
3 2 Black Storm 15.00 7.8 15-1
12 10 Botero 12.00 8 15-1
2 2 Implicitly 0.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Around the Dial 12.00 8.5 16-1
13 13 More Honor 0.00 SCRATCH
11 9 R Cha Cha 15.00 9.6 18-1
8 8 Short of Ez 0.00 SCRATCH
9 7 Rick’s Dream 20.00 11.6 22-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Moonlight d’Oro 1.60 1.8 3-1
5 5 Frosted Blue 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 Brilliant Cut 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 High Con 5.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Royal Blend 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Roll Up Mo Money 12.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Frazzled 12.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Bonus Fever 15.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Shanghai Groove 20.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Jamming Eddy 4.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Microrithms 2.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Big Scott Daddy 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Silardi 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Oil Can Knight 5.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Hair of the Cat 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Alleva 12.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Drop the Chalupa 6.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Colombian Gold 2.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Awesome Drive 8.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Too Much Heaven 4.00 4 7-1
7 7 Lady Noguez 5.00 4 8-1
6 6 Breakfast Ball 6.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Savvy Gal 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 A Thousand Dreams 6.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 White Velvet 15.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Don’t Stop Lookin 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Clement L. Hirsch S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ollie’s Candy 2.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Fighting Mad 4.00 2 4-1
4 4 Dogtag 6.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Hard Not to Love 2.00 3 6-1
2 2 Ce Ce 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 Hang a Star 15.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 War Path 2.50 1.9 4-1
11 11 Seven Charms 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Juror 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Tallien (IRE) 3.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Vegas Moon 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Hollywoodhellraisr 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Western Smoke 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Frasard (GB) 6.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 It Better Be Gold 20.00 6.1 11-1
10 10 Divine Armor 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Port Saint Joe 12.00 6.6 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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