August 2, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Julius | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
1 | 1 | Zestful | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Blame It On Kitty | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Justin’s Quest | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Secret Touch | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Invincibella (GB) | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
4 | 4 | Sapori Girl | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Red Bunting (IRE) | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Kleen Karma | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Kalliniki | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
8 | 7 | Gallantlystreaming (IRE) | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
5 | 5 | Brahms Command | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
7 | 7 | Prima Valentina | 5.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Graduation S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Scooby | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
1 | 1 | Good With People | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Positivity | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Touchdown Brown | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Jazz Hands | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | None Above the Law | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Rantanen | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Grazen Honor | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
2 | 2 | Seaside Dancer | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
7 | 5 | Red Livy (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
5 | 4 | Swirling | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
8 | 6 | Lucky Peridot | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
3 | 3 | Devils Dance | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | Watch Me Burn | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
6 | 6 | Magical Gray | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 9 | Square Peggy | 0.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 6 | Moreavino | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
4 | 3 | True Mischief | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
6 | 5 | Sapphire Silk | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
11 | 10 | Polar Route | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
8 | 7 | Our Bonnie Lass | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
3 | 2 | Soothing | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
2 | 1 | Gotta Be Lucky | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
10 | 9 | Our Romance | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
9 | 8 | What a Family | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
5 | 4 | Turkish Angel | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
1 | 1 | Tenga’s Jubilee | 0.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 8 | Facts Matter | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
14 | 14 | Hydrogen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 5 | Conquest Cobra | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
4 | 3 | Vander Kelen | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
7 | 6 | P R Radio Star | 2.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
5 | 4 | Mayan Warrior | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
3 | 2 | Black Storm | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
12 | 10 | Botero | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
2 | 2 | Implicitly | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
1 | 1 | Around the Dial | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
13 | 13 | More Honor | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 9 | R Cha Cha | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
8 | 8 | Short of Ez | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 7 | Rick’s Dream | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Moonlight d’Oro | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | Frosted Blue | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Brilliant Cut | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | High Con | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
9 | 9 | Royal Blend | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
8 | 8 | Roll Up Mo Money | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Frazzled | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Bonus Fever | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Shanghai Groove | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Jamming Eddy | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
6 | 6 | Microrithms | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
3 | 3 | Big Scott Daddy | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
2 | 2 | Silardi | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Oil Can Knight | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
5 | 5 | Hair of the Cat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Alleva | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
7 | 7 | Drop the Chalupa | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Colombian Gold | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | Awesome Drive | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
9 | 9 | Too Much Heaven | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Lady Noguez | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Breakfast Ball | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
2 | 2 | Savvy Gal | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
3 | 3 | A Thousand Dreams | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
4 | 4 | White Velvet | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
1 | 1 | Don’t Stop Lookin | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Clement L. Hirsch S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Ollie’s Candy | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
6 | 6 | Fighting Mad | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Dogtag | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Hard Not to Love | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Ce Ce | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Hang a Star | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | War Path | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
11 | 11 | Seven Charms | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Juror | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
2 | 2 | Tallien (IRE) | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
6 | 6 | Vegas Moon | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
8 | 8 | Hollywoodhellraisr | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
7 | 7 | Western Smoke | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | Frasard (GB) | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
9 | 9 | It Better Be Gold | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
10 | 10 | Divine Armor | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 3 | Port Saint Joe | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.