Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 1, 2020

August 1, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Bee Major 2.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Express Boy 4.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 Iambutter 5.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Big Treasure 4.50 6.6 12-1
7 7 Alperes 12.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 Churchills Victory 20.00 8.6 16-1
10 10 Uncage the Cat 15.00 9 17-1
4 4 Fayez 15.00 9.5 18-1
12 12 D. Silo 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Dramatic Kitten 4.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Mozano 1.80 SCRATCH
6 6 Inaceptable 20.00 10.8 20-1
8 8 Imperial Greatness 20.00 10.8 20-1
13 12 Future Prince 30.00 12.9 24-1
1 1 King Andres 30.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Riveting Spirit 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 3 Starship Voyager 2.50 4 8-1
1 1 Tiz Enough 3.00 4 8-1
7 5 Tara 4.00 4.2 8-1
6 4 Seattle Bay 10.00 4.5 8-1
4 2 Cool Stance 30.00 6 11-1
2 2 Undercover Outlaw 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Timetastic 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Zandrea’s 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Trieste (BRZ) 3.50 6.1 12-1
5 5 Elite Appeal 3.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Cherokee Sound 4.50 6.7 13-1
6 6 Karenina 5.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Capeline 12.00 7.6 14-1
13 13 Noble Maria 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Tell Me Maux 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Strict Vow 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Etana 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Tennessee Cotton 15.00 10.2 19-1
10 10 Amber Princess 20.00 10.5 20-1
1 1 Generic Mark 15.00 11.3 21-1
11 11 Kisses for Tizzy 20.00 11.5 22-1
4 4 Slewys Chosen One 20.00 12 23-1
3 3 Lemon Water 30.00 13.8 26-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Honesto 2.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Seazan 3.00 3 6-1
5 5 Imperial King 4.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Cobb 4.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Another Duke 8.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Foster Hope 10.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Halcyon Digest 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Wicked Brody 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 9 Dillon Rocks 3.50 4.4 8-1
11 8 Speed Franco 3.00 4.9 9-1
10 7 Drillomatic 5.00 5.1 10-1
8 5 Mighty Ghost 8.00 6.1 12-1
9 6 Valiant Virtue 10.00 7 13-1
6 4 Uncle Curly 15.00 7.6 14-1
5 3 Notsosubtle 12.00 8.2 16-1
3 2 Burn the Boats 20.00 9.5 18-1
2 2 Geonosis 20.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Five Star Recruit 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Hero of the Hour 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Shendam (FR) 30.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Speightstown Again 2.00 3.5 7-1
2 1 Sir Kahn 2.50 3.5 7-1
4 3 Defeatsnotanoption 4.50 3.6 7-1
5 4 Easy Day 5.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Divine Control 30.00 5 9-1
7 6 No More Business 20.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Princely God 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Elite Mission 5.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Our Time 10.00 3.9 7-1
4 3 Slippy 2.00 4 8-1
7 6 Textpectation 2.50 4.9 9-1
6 5 Rags for Britches 6.00 5.1 10-1
8 7 Northbrook 12.00 5.9 11-1
9 8 Exatlon 30.00 7.1 13-1
10 9 Fog Warning 20.00 8 15-1
2 2 Gator Fifty Two 30.00 9.7 18-1
3 3 Hay Hay My My 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Blame the Thief 1.40 3.3 6-1
2 2 Jay’s Way 2.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Two Step Slew 15.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Millionaire Runner 5.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Unbridled Holiday 10.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Sensational Ride 8.00 6 11-1
7 7 Done Acting 20.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Kahramani 20.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Jaiden’s Best 30.00 8.7 16-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Ftboa Florida Sire Desert Vixen S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Tamiami 4.00 1.5 3-1
10 8 Social Exclusion 4.50 3.1 6-1
8 6 Lyrical 8.00 4.1 8-1
9 7 Princess Secret 2.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Freak 15.00 5.5 10-1
4 3 Sophisticurl 12.00 5.7 11-1
3 2 Go Jo Jo Go 20.00 7.4 14-1
6 5 Alluramore 30.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 Oh Deborah 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Frankly My Dear 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Ftboa Florida Sire Dr. Fager S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Breeze On By 2.50 2.4 5-1
4 3 Casalsa 8.00 2.9 5-1
12 9 Son of a Beast 4.00 3 6-1
9 6 Boca Boy 5.00 3.3 6-1
3 2 Gatsby 6.00 5.2 10-1
7 5 Little Demon 15.00 5.8 11-1
6 4 Valiant Thor 15.00 6.1 12-1
11 8 Famous Gent 10.00 6.2 12-1
10 7 Mr Tingles 20.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Lost Lover 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Social Equality 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Paladio 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 8 Starship Mufasa 3.00 3 6-1
5 3 O Driscoll 4.00 3 6-1
11 6 Light Fury 2.50 3.4 6-1
14 9 Power (BRZ) 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 4 Bulkcarrier 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 Ninetydaysofwinter 20.00 9.2 17-1
4 2 Initforthelove 20.00 9.9 19-1
2 2 Smoochin Kitten 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Oxburger 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Lord d’Oro 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Seagar 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Secret Magician 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Courage de Lion 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Ima Coalman 15.00 SCRATCH
12 7 Pachanga Patrol 30.00 11.4 22-1
10 5 Makinalegacy 30.00 12.6 24-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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