Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 1, 2020

August 1, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Street Image 3.00 2 4-1
7 6 Eskimo Roses 5.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Moonoverthebayou 6.00 4 8-1
8 7 Sorriso 3.50 4.5 9-1
4 3 Victor’s Show 10.00 4.8 9-1
9 8 Golden Image 12.00 5.9 11-1
2 1 See Through It 15.00 6.3 12-1
6 5 Nietzsche 15.00 7.1 13-1
10 9 Include the Tax 12.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Bob’s Sniper 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Shared Belief S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Cezanne 3.50 2.4 5-1
2 1 Thousand Words 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 3 Honor A. P. 1.60 2.8 5-1
4 2 Kiss Today Goodbye 15.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Uncle Chuck 1.80 SCRATCH
3 3 Anneau d’Or 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Antigravity 4.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Petruchio 5.00 2.2 4-1
5 4 Freedom Fighter 2.00 2.3 4-1
8 7 Vittorio 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Wyfire 8.00 3.7 7-1
10 9 Dixie’s Two Stents 8.00 4 8-1
6 5 El Joy 20.00 5 9-1
9 8 Scary Larry 20.00 5.7 11-1
7 6 Deputy Gary 30.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Epidemic 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Sly 3.50 2 4-1
2 1 Big Buzz 2.50 3 6-1
6 5 Bud Knight 4.00 3.9 7-1
4 3 Good Bye Putin 5.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 East Rand 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 2 Big City Bane 10.00 5.8 11-1
8 7 Alvaaro 15.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 General Mathis 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Nolo Contesto 2.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Dreams of Valor 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Tizamagician 3.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Shortlist 4.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Rayray 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Polar Wind 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Musawaat (GB) 8.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Chitu Me Too 5.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Sweet Sonny 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Dolce 5.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Officious 4.50 5.8 11-1
8 8 Star Kissed 8.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Sweet and Cheeky 4.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Miss Mo’ Licious 20.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 She Loves Karaoke 15.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 Predictable Tully (IRE) 3.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Fierce for Sul 0.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Flat Out Joy 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Queen Stormborn 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Flawless Gem 0.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Kaely’s Candy 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Taming the Tigress 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Bossy Soul 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Will Take a Kiss 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Mamba Queen 2.50 4.7 9-1
6 6 Big Cali Girl 8.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Smoothlikebuttah 8.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Steinway 12.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Eddie’s New Dream 15.00 7 13-1
10 10 Love Lyric 15.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Valentine Ghost 20.00 7.5 14-1
11 11 Daisy Field 0.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Luxury Liner 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – California Thoroughbred Breeders’ Association S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Governor Goteven 5.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Big Andy 5.00 3 6-1
3 3 Reign of Fire 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Righteously 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Jasmine Chieftain 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Love Wins 0.00 SCRATCH
7 7 I’m So Anna 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Little Rachel 5.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Del Mar Drama 6.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Naughty Evelyn 6.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Better With Age 4.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Tagline 2.00 6 11-1
4 4 Journal Entry 8.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 I Give Up 12.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Lookin So Lucky 20.00 8.8 17-1
10 10 Star of Africa 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Lemon Drop Tini 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Rowangoeshollywood 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 M Fast 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Constantia 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Wild Arch 20.00 10.2 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Bing Crosby S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Collusion Illusion 4.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Fashionably Fast 3.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Desert Law 5.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Lexitonian 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Law Abidin Citizen 8.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Anyportinastorm 6.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Wildman Jack 6.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Heartwood 20.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 McKinzie 2.00 SCRATCH
5 5 P R Radio Star 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cheerful Charm 5.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Nina En Fuego 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Get’em Tiger 8.00 4 8-1
9 9 On Mars 2.50 4.6 9-1
10 10 Shez Our Arch 12.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Kiss of Congrats 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Ride Sally Ride 8.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Bella Chica 3.50 6.1 12-1
8 8 Spanish Channel 20.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Starship Sky 20.00 7.5 14-1
11 11 La Gata Elegante 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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