July 30, 2020 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Tonal Vision | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | New Day Dawning | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sugar Fix | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Little Red Frog | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Punk Rock Princess | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lookin Dynamic | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | Super Twenty Seven | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Wicked Title | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Not Above Me | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unrelenting Force | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Majestic View | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Senrima | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lord Camden | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Suspect | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Danegeld | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Me ‘n Sap | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | True Palace | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Von Aldenbruck | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Foxtail | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Team Win | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Vip Nation | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rosebud’s Hope | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beach Dreaming | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tula | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Annie Rocks | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beyond Discreet | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Daria’s Angel | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Kefaliani | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rousey | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Enough Love | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Lady of Loreto | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Becky’s Mission | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ja’s Malibu | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bella Invasion | 50.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charlotte Webley | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Graded On a Curve | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Catch a Cab | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Opt | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rinaldi | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ghost Giant | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Evaluator | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nutzforboltz | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Yankee Division | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Honorable Hero | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Playwright | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Twisted Tom | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Checksandbalances (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | More Mango | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Malibu Anthem | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Kitten’s Romance | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Spring to Summer | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9A | 8 | Hard Won | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Claddagh’s Run | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Valletta | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Maliceinthepalace | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cherokee Song | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shine Like Bobby | 50.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flashing Red | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fed Funds | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Man Flintstone | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mister Bobby | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dangerous Edge | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Boy Mo | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Polar Bear Pete | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Starship Bubba | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ziller | 50.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Barrel of Destiny | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Short Pour | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Myhartblongstodady | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Atlas | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Out of Trouble | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pecatonica | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Love and Love | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Goodbye Brockley | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Maiden Beauty | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mary’s Girl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – John Morrissey H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Bankit | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Funny Guy | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Amundson | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pat On the Back | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Celtic Chaos | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | T Loves a Fight | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | My Boy Tate | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kazmania | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Freaky Styley | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Boom Boom Kaboom | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fluent in Sarcasm | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Adios Amigos | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tempesta | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Disciplanarian | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Brickyard | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Threepointninenine | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kamikaze Red | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jet for Andy | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Every Minute | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Daring Disguise | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Money in the Bank | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Mighty Wind | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Frat | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Freudian Analyst | 30.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.