July 26, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Blitzkrieg | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bombard | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sparky Ville | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baja Sur | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Calexman | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rogallo | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | All I Can Say | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vodka Twist | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Go for a Ride | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speakerofthehouse | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bodega | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Debt Monger | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Linfield | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hurley | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Kittyhawk Lass | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tammy’s Window | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lostintranzlation | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sugary | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lexington Grace (IRE) | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unchaining Melody (GB) | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dorita’s Lemon | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Social Graces (GB) | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Senoradiablo | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ruby Bradley | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Avalon Ride | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Hudson River Park | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bold Effort | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Santiago’s Tower | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Fight Me | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Moana Luna | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Big Cheddar | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sharp Speaker | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bobs Blues Man | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Air Jockey | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Papa Lorenzo | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Endless Tale | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Pasito | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | First Empress | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Billy K | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Establish Justice | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Destiny’s Journey | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Samandah | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Bennet | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Manresa | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Truth Prevails | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Info’s Treasure | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Songofthedesert | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Smiling Annie | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dim Lights | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mommy Rose | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Queensbeccaandjane | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | D’s Lovely Sophia | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Plum Wild | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shylock Eddie | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Vita | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Florentine Diamond | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Square Peggy | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | I’m Busy | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jan’s Reserve | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lionite | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oh Marvelous Me | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Sean | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Posterize | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Make It a Triple | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pure Comedy | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sweet River Baines | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Luck’s Royal Flush | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Eddie Read S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | United | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sharp Samurai | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Originaire (IRE) | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cleopatra’s Strike | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bowies Hero | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Neptune’s Storm | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Combatant | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Holden the Lute | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whirl Candy | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charlito | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Friar’s Road | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | A. P. Pharoah | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Adare | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Solo Animo | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Still in the Game | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Invictatatus | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Winners Club | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Divine Armor | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – California Dreamin’ S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Irish Heatwave | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Camino Del Paraiso | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Galilean | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ultimate Bango | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Take the One O One | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grinning Tiger | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Three Ay Em | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Desmond Doss | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brandothebartender | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Loud Mouth | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Whooping Jay | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Final Demand | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Wine At Sunset | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Caught in a Trappe | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vangogo | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Canadian Ginger | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Second Avenue | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Mozart | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Sweet Regards | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Spreckels | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | It’s a Riddle | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Game Plan | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cool Night | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Forehead Kisses | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miracle Miler | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.