July 24, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fabozzi | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Horse Greedy | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Outlaw | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rickey B | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Concur | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heartfullofstars | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Papa Turf | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | C Dub | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | King Parker | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Market Sentiment | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Burn Me Twice | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Awhitesportscoat | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Severin | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz Love | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | North County Guy | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Southern King | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Border Town | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Proud Pedro (FR) | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Catch the Eye | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Stiff | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bold Endeavor | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Fleet Treat S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Smiling Shirlee | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Been Studying Her | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Loud Loud Music | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Big Sweep | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Warren’s Showtime | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Querelle | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tijori | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Hot Legs | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fantasy Heat | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amuse | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bulletproof One | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shines Her Light (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gypsy Blu | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sold It | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bluegrass Patriot | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Synsky | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Irreproachable | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tiger’s Song | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Summer Fun | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carmelita’s Man | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Nickel Curve | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shark Cat | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bullet Times | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | El Diablo Rojo | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Starship Chewbacca | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Utalknboutpractice | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smokin Blackjack | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Foster Boi | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Preaching Trainer | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Too Late | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Doc Tommy | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Great Ulysses | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Offshore Affair | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Etterbay Ucklay | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tizhotndusty | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Jamming Eddy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Portando | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Undeniable Proof | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bam Bam Again | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | September Secret | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mucha Woman | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Dress | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spicy Sommelier | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Mama Sue | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stars of Bluegrass | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Monicat | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Decorate | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dancing Dana | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Be Mice Elf | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Daisycutter H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jo Jo Air | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Surrender Now | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Artistic Diva | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stealthediamonds | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tomlin | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lighthouse | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mucho Amor | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mischiffie (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Storming Lady | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Enriched by Deb | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sapphire Silk | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Solitaire | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Foxy Carmela | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Arya’s Dagger | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cameo Shores | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kuda Huraa | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alicia’s Pride | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Daddys Real Diva | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Polar Route | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Shallow | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Some Royalty | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Enchanting Moon | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Our Bonnie Lass | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | City Rage | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dark Prince | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Madman | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Succeedandsurpass (IRE) | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tripoli | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Colosi | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lincoln City | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Reprobate | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eastern Ocean | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Of Good Report | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | The Street Fighter | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Storm the Bastille (FR) | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Tiberius Mercurius | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Silenced | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.