July 12, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Into Chocolate | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sadie Lady | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gypsy Janie | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Phantom Shot | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fair Regis | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cobra Sophie | 50.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cotton | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | War Call | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lookin for Trouble | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Thin White Duke | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eight Weeks Long | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bustin Bieber | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hold the Salsa | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Munnings | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Wear My Ring | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Desbordes | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heartstrings | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Intoxicologist | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | She’s a Lumberjane | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Barbara P | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bella Invasion | 50.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | First Dawn | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 10 | Petrus | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Klickitat | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | High Tone | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Pier Forty | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Michael’s Bad Boy | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sidd Finch | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mitzrayim | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gatto Marrone | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Hurricane Andrew | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Prince Halo | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lexatoga | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Golden Idol | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Cold Hard Cash | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Bielefeld | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Senrima | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Talespin | 50.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Onthewaytonevrland (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Tenure | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Le General | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fooch | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bourbon Currency | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Variant Perception | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Elenzee | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cavaradossi | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Mission | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Coral Legacy | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wonder In | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Carthon | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Violent Point | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Drynachan | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moana’s Tale | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Amos | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Hunnybunnerdini | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Canarsie Angel | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ancient Brown | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Freddymo Factor | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Anydayisherday | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crater Rim | 30.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Silky Blue | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Fight On Lucy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Puparee | 50.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Thenorthremembers | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Violent Delights | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bobbyfromthepalm | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Runningforhome | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Southern Brigade | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paynter’s Prize | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Macho Boy | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Awesome Adversary | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | King of American | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prince of New York | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – River Memories S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Olympic Games (FR) | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wegetsdamunnys | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Civil Union | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lemon Zip | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dyna Passer | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pallas Athene | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beau Belle | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beale Street | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Seeking Revenge | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Red Curls | 50.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tass | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Painite | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pippi | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Baby Girl | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dream Chasing | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Saratoga Lullaby | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magical Romance | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | High School Crush | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Empress Luciana | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gotta B Bold | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Keypit | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Devils Rendezvous | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | City Bird Flying | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Molly’s Shrink | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.