July 11, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3A | 3 | Shaker Shack | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Classic Colors | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shesadirtydancer | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Infringement | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | Bustin Shuffle | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Highway Queen | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | First Deposit | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Chasing Cara | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Radiantrithym | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Flash | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Solitary Gem | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beyond Discreet | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Loyalty | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whyisshesoolucky | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dirty Bird | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | More Than Striking | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Passcode | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cobble Hill | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charge Ahead | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Larceny | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mac’s Revolution | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Implied Volatility | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Waynes Footsteps | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ridolfo | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Our Stormin Norman | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | I Saw It All | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our American Star | 50.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Ruffian S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Monomoy Girl | 0.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mother Mother | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vexatious | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Piedi Bianchi | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Always Shopping | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 3 | Honey Won’t | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 4 | Quarky | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Famished | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 5 | Duress | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 1 | Fregua (GB) | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Monkeyseemonkeydo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Blindwillie McTell | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 2 | Mo Gotcha | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High Amplitude | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Yes and Yes | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | American Rule | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | The Sicarii | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Latkes | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Afleeting Glance | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Go Fish | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Oak Creek Canyon | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Stuy Town Baby | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Courted | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Choose Happiness | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Baby Girl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Queen Kimberly | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Women Not Easy | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eighty Seven North | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Brovia | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Derby Doll | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Cemetery V I P | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Lovely Escort | 30.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tonilee | 30.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Good Credence | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Single Verse | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bustin Scones | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fair Lassie | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ok Honey | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Wailin Josie | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pot of Hunny | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ruvies in Time | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4A | 3 | Leitone (CHI) | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Han Sense | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Heavy Roller | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Family Biz | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Super Dude | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | McErin | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fleet Irish | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | American Lincoln | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Kumar | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Uncle George | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Qian B C | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fly Fly Away | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | More Graytful | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scocciatore | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Wonder | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jack of Clubs | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Double Shot | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Impazible Odds | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Sinner Is You | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | He’smyluckyfellow | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Turbo Drive | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Beach Front | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Microscope | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 8 | Wardenofthenorth | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lord Camden | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | After Prom Party | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Drop of Bourbon | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Warriors Revenge | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | J P’s Song | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bank Gala | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Inspector Henning | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Second Fortune | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Constant Quest | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Book of Delancey | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Apex Predator | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 9 | True Palace | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.