July 8, 2020 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shesgonemoveon | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American Humor | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cernan | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wartime Hero | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beaver Hat | 3.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Can’tbetemall | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz the Journey | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Loan Shark | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Majority Rules | 3.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Over the Blues | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charge It Jenn | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sunset Paula Jo | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Take Charge Erica | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stellar Stiletto | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heavens Whisper | 1.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Patty H | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pretty in Pink | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Spun d’Etat | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tete a Tete | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Temper Time | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Naughty Nellie | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Puye Timing | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sa Foradada | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coconut Cottage | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Faded Memories | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Sky Cat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | I Hear You | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Forty Zip | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Magic Motion | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Beautiful Morning | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Twitterpated | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | War for Peace | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Country Time | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Flying the Colors | 1.80 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Elke Do Jaguarete (BRZ) | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fate Factor | 3.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Portofina | 50.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | It’s Mine | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | More Good Times | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Shell Shock | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Fashion Fortune | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Inis Gluaire | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Searing Chase | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fugitive | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Uncle Steve | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dark Web | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hoof Prince | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Carmichael | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Asset | 4.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Savvy | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Full Authority | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Proud Veteran | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silver Quarters | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | The Feature | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | My America | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cavalry Charge | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bee Catcher | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Elusive Ruler | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sea of Hope | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Andesite | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scabbard | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Greyes Creek | 3.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mantra | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Attorney Tim | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lake Nakuru | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | El Ahijado | 50.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 13A | 13 | Botswana Taps | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | King Theo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Coastal Defense | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16A | 16 | Claytnthelionheart | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hail to the Chief | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lngtermrelationshp | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Admire | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Samaronti | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fra Mauro | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Runnin’ Ray | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | And Seek | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Verve’s Humor | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Johny’s Bobby | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Father G | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Adhhar | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Maven | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Souper Dormy | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Digital | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Race Driver | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Surprise Factor | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High Holy | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ikeisgreat | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cambria | 4.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dark Oak | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Williston Way | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Johnny Unleashed | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Scoring | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Naughty Prince | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Litchfield | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Stop Making Sense | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Boss Life | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carolina Airness | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Whisky Man | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Falcon | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eastern Symphony | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Name Is Phred | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Captain Billy Roy | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Second Line David | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Itasca | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Spice Road | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Magic Man’s Touch | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Jack’s Advantage | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Booyakasha | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.