July 5, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Queendom | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mosienko | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chasing Losses | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Gipsey Sorceress | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | La Negrita | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Barbara P | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Enough Love | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | All About Reyana | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Risk Model | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sing Me Home (GB) | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Rivendell | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Too Sexy | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Morality Clause | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Kemba | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Jasminesque | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Back Channel | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Cherokee Song | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lorenzen | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fed Funds | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tri Saint Lorenzo | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Warfront Fighter | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Height | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Corkman | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Little Mazzy | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Union Charm | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Happyandiknowit | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mucho Sunshine | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Mandate | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Torres Del Paine | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kilronan | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Catorat | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bray | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Halstaat | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sneads | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | My Sacred Place | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | River Knight | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bridgetothefuture | 50.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | My Amanjena | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Magical Tale | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13A | 13 | Make a Stand | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Daring Disguise | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kid Chocolate | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Long Island City | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Nero’s Fiddle | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unlikely | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Anyoneelsebutyou | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Snappy Cat | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fast Gordon | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Breed’s Hill | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Disciplanarian | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Tempesta | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | On the Couch | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Senrima | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Well in Tune | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freudian Analyst | 50.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blessed Honour | 50.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fevola | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Coach Villa | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mister Bobby | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Riken | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ventus | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Boy Mo | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tapizearance | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cryptographer | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Stone Tornado (GB) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Madita (GER) | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Chaleur (GB) | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | She’s Got You (GB) | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Madeleine Must (FR) | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dark Artist | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Kitten’s Covergirl | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Indy Union | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | The Great Johanna | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Tale of the Union | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Big Thicket | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Quickflash | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Kid d’Oro | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Leap to Glory | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ten Twenty Nine | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Giant Shoes | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Inside Info | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Delaware (GB) | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Chewing Gum | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Telekinesis | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Front Run the Fed | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Majestic Dunhill | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mai Ty One On | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Vici | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Penalty | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Pulsate | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Isotherm | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Its All Relevant | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Spiritual King | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Striking Causeway | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Token | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Majestic View | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | More Like It | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Every Minute | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smite | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boom Boom Kaboom | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fluent in Sarcasm | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sanctuary City | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Revenger | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.