July 4, 2020 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Unique Humor | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Checotah | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Special Risk | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Swirrlie Shirlie | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Group Text | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | R True Sensation | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Princess Areni | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6A | 6 | Glorious Mystery | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8A | 7 | Equus Novus | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | Bust Another | 1.80 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Zombie | 1.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cause for Surprise | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | The Italian | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ninetyeightoctane | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | More Front | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | I Got the Brahms | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | To the Victor | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | The Mighty Judge | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Souper Catch | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cloontia | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uhwarrie Sky | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hero’s Hope | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | English Tudor | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Afterburner | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Atreyu | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Late Breaking News | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Gold Shield | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Appraised | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Small Invasion | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Tapizar King | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Field Officer | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Leading Man | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Commander’s Intent | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Liar | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Im Poppas Favorite | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Confusion | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cowboy Gandhi | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Gottaway | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Rhythm Guitar | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | River Flyinred Rvf | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Berry Hill | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Premier Justice | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess A’go Go | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Fight | 1.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Queen of Muskoka | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Glamorous Thunder | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Paz the Wine | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Tom Tom | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8A | 8 | S P F Ninetynine | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Christiana S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Embossed | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Correctness | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American Giant | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Trickle In | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kiss the Girl | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pure Rhythm | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Duchess of Sussex | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Toolcat | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Imperfection | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Payneful | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hunt Me Down | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fourteen Carrot | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Starry Sky | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stucco | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thekidsback | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Empty Nestr | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sincere Man | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Csabawaba | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Delaware Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Piece of My Heart | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Comical | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dream Marie | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Queen Bridget | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Cadey | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Project Whiskey | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hopeful Growth | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Long Point Beach | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Kent S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Vanzzy | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gufo | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pixelate | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bye Bye Melvin | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sunsation | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Me and Mr. C | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Talking | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | On Base | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3B | 3 | DANCE WITH ME BW | 1.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | IRIDESSE | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | ROYALLY BRED | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | ROYAL MOONLIGHT | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | MIZZDORA | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | CREAMOFTHECREAM MHF | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | AMYS LITTLE DIVA AA | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 5B | 5 | RB KINETIC | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.