July 4, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Charlotte Webley | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shayna Bay | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Aggravation | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Remoane | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Ross | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vinita | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Queentigua | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Idaka | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Helen by Night | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mia Calia | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Boston Girl | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Funderella | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8A | 6 | Tribhuvan (FR) | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Serve the King (GB) | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3A | 2 | Ballagh Rocks | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | North Dakota | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Conviction Trade | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Memories of Peter | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Go Poke the Bear | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spirit Animal | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Noble Thought | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Leitone (CHI) | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Victory Ride S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Up in Smoke | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frank’s Rockette | 0.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Center Aisle | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reagan’s Edge | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Peppina | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Edge | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Storm Risen | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Jaggers | 1.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bay Street Money | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Great Camanoe | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bail Out | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hostile Witness | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Commissioner Dave | 50.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fortin Hill | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amundson | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz He the One | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zoomer | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American Power | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | T Loves a Fight | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Skyler’s Scramjet | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ready to Escape | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 11 | American Goddess | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Publication | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Zaccapa (FR) | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bastet | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pilot Episode | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | L’Indiscret | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amazing Ride | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dipping In | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Liza Jambalaya | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zerenia | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Yes to Mischief | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Too Sexy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Morality Clause | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Cherokee Song | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Back Channel | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Madam Maclean | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dante’s Fire | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jo’s Bold Cat | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Danfusi | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Point Him Out | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jack the Cat | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bad Guy | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jimmy Jazz | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Steelersfanforlife | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Starry Messenger | 50.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Poker S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Value Proposition (GB) | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Social Paranoia | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Got Stormy | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Valid Point | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dream Friend | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seismic Wave | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hawkish | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eons | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Its All Relevant | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Runhappy Metropolitan H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | McKinzie | 2.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Network Effect | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vekoma | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Warrior’s Charge | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Freeze | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Code of Honor | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Endorsed | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hog Creek Hustle | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Manhattan S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Instilled Regard | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dot Matrix | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Devamani (FR) | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rockemperor (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sadler’s Joy | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cross Border | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Channel Maker | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spooky Channel | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Suburban S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Moretti | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Just Whistle | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Sir Winston | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tacitus | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mr. Buff | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forewarned | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Parsimony | 50.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Joevia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.