June 21, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Siren Lure S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ultimate Bango | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yes I Am Free | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Torosay | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sparky Ville | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mesut | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Runnuer | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Portando | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bud Knight | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Salvator Mundi | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big City Bane | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Hoof Dynamite | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cajun Treasure | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Factorial | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | East Rand | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bordeaux Red | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Exhalting | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Girther | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dr. Schivel | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Weston | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ambivalent | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cross Indian | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Claw | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Schnell | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Deputy Gary | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | South Beach Gal | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ride Sally Ride | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bella Chica | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alice Marble | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hot Chicken | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | From Jamesto Jamie | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ole Silver | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lets Get Wild | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pete’s Inferno | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Connie’s Promise | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Queensbeccaandjane | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cassie Belle | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Elegant Silk | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bluegrass Sky | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Amanda | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mucho Macho Woman | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Your Royal Coil | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Remember to Smile | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flying Business | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Bennet | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – San Juan Capistrano S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ward ‘n Jerry | 1.20 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kershaw | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red King | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tintoretto (GER) | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Siberian Iris (IRE) | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swamp Souffle | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Avalanche | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Soberano (FR) | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Melair S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Smiling Shirlee | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Sweep | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reiwa | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Warren’s Showtime | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kristi’s Tiger | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Homehome | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Danceformunny | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sapori Girl | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wine At Sunset | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moreavino | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Star of Africa | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arya’s Dagger | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Katsaros | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Give Up | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hola Chica | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Naughty Evelyn | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiger’s Princess | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cosmic Cowgirl | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Apache Pass | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | True Mischief | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | With This Vow | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | M Fast | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saving Sophie | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’seversoclever | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – American S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Border Town | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cleopatra’s Strike | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sharp Samurai | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bowies Hero | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blitzkrieg | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Souter (GB) | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | True Valour (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bolo | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | King of Speed | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jasikan (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Provocation | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Himiko | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scarlet Lips | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | La V. | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queen of Aces | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Addie Pray | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Brandons Danger | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gold Arrow | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quiet Secretary | 50.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Galloping Mischief | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fivestar Lynch (IRE) | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Succeedandsurpass (IRE) | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Southern King | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Turn the Switch | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Winning Element | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Of Good Report | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Colosi | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Go Daddy Go | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silken Prince | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Storm the Bastille (FR) | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Three Ay Em | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Move Over (GB) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lincoln City | 20.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.