June 19, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Effinity | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Competitive Hero | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quick Nick | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Market Alert | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ocala Dream | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tom’s Choice | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Data Deal | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Thin White Duke | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bustin Bieber | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Takecareyallchickn | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | In Front | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | All Others Follow (GB) | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Curly Wurly | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Coilean Bawn | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Astoundment | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tonal Verse | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fortuna | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cherokee Song | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Bears Mafia | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fleet Warrior | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Other Things Equal | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jack Bo | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8A | 7 | Booby Trap | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11A | 10 | Talent Scout | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Call the Cat | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ari’s Naughty Luca | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Latin Love Bug | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Our Honor | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Blue Skies Forever | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Leitone (CHI) | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hoffenheim | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Creative Style | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Autostrade | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shadow Rider | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | American Lincoln | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Holiday Bonus | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Yellen | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mariposa d’Oro | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Miss You Blues | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Chic Bella | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Translate | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Always Alright | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Lindsey | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Shanny Go Nanny | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Hickory Made | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Morality Clause | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Musical Thunder | 50.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Queen Daveigh | 50.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sassy Secret | 50.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mo Flash | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queen Kahen | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Jak | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Excess Capacity | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Archumybaby | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jump for Joy | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Camorra | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tropical Joy | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Out of Trouble | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fetching | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | First Appeal | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Collegeville Girl | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Short Pour | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Lovely La La | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Vip Nation | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Elegant Zip | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | A Little Faith | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Prairie Fire | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Awillaway | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mary’s Girl | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Leaky Cup | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | The Caretaker | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Steam Engine | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Summer Bourbon | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Frosted Ice | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Kazmania | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eye Luv Lulu | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Castle Casanova | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Nueva York | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Sir Cat S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jack and Noah (FR) | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Chimney Rock | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Guildsman (FR) | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Old Chestnut | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Turned Aside | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Shortandsimple | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Maxwell Esquire | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | So Street | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Topaz Bride | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lucky Latkes | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Roziere | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Courted | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Painite | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wall Eye | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brovia | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Herwaze | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Rosey’s Invasion | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Banque de Margaux | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Central Perk | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Gen Z | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Choose Happiness | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | La Rubia | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Shes Euphoric | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Derby Doll | 50.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.