June 18, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Thankful | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yellow Brick Road | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sneer | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Love On the Run | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | So Darn Hot | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sky Queen | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lemon’s Medaglia | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Invest | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Prince of New York | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sneads | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Violent Delights | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Luxury Suite | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | The Honest Toun | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Yes for Less | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Smidge | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Awesome Adversary | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Soul Fight | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | The Joke’s On You | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Make Mischief | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Jill’s a Hot Mess | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pleasure Luck | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Going Going Gone | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shesadirtydancer | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dorothy’s Star | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8A | 7 | Chasing Cara | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9A | 8 | Cara’s Dreamer | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kokopelli | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Scarf It Down | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Neighborhood Bully | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mills | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vincento | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chief Know It All | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Street Trust | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eden Ridge | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Proud Enough | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Shiraz | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jerome Avenue | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cabinet Pik | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Variant Perception | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Septimius Severus | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Impazible Odds | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10A | 8 | Bad Guy | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Nicki de Nephew | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Irish Roar (IRE) | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | American Rule | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9A | 9 | Carthon | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Frank’sgunisloaded | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13A | 13 | Yankee Division | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Quid | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spitball | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | G C Cam | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12A | 11 | Summer Tune | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Not So Easy | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Masterio | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Shandian | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hostile Witness | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mucho Sunshine | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Camouflaged Kisser | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Onthewingsoflou | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13A | 13 | Hidden Style | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Drink to the Clown | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | I Love Jaxson | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Proven Reserves | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Its All Relevant | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Winston’s Chance | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Felix in Fabula | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prioritize | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 11 | Summer At the Spa | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Morning Colors | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Astoria Kitten | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Barrel of Destiny | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Marquet Legacy | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Amos | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wear My Ring | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Pecatonica | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Jen | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My My Michelle | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Moana’s Tale | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Lem Me Have It | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Courageous Girl | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sky Kitten | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Diamond N Simon | 30.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Critical Eye S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ratajkowski | 1.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | More Mischief | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | English Soul | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No Hayne No Gayne | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mrs. Orb | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Great Johanna | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Saratoga Lullaby | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Abby Normal | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Devils Rendezvous | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Funny Pursuit | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tuck In | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Red Button | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Red Girl | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Menzamenz | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pippi | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beans N Rice | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sisterwilliamagnes | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Dream Chasing | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Empress Luciana | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Rosey’s Invasion | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Central Perk | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Pasture Princess | 50.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.