Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, June 4, 2020

June 4, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Be Magic 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Super Twenty Seven 5.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Desbordes 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 First Dawn 3.00 4 8-1
3 3 She’s a Lumberjane 20.00 5.3 10-1
8 6 Our Ticket 20.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Smiles From Sadie 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 So Aristocratic 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Wardenofthenorth 10.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Street Dance 12.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Big Boy Mo 5.00 4.4 8-1
14 13 J’s Warrior 6.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Go Rudy Go 12.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Adios Amigos 4.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Mariner Qui 15.00 5.1 10-1
13 12 Imperio D 15.00 6 11-1
5 5 Brian’s Last Song 4.50 6.1 12-1
4 4 Unbridled John 10.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Talespin 20.00 7.4 14-1
11 11 Frat 50.00 8.9 17-1
12 12 Son of Darkness 20.00 SCRATCH
15 14 Warriors Revenge 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Snappy Cat 50.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6A 6 Vicar’s Legend 3.50 1.3 2-1
9 8 Shamrock Kid 2.50 1.6 3-1
3A 3 Bronx Bomber 3.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 San Juan Diego 8.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Foolish Ghost 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Bustin Shout 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Big Thicket 3.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Manifest Destiny 30.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Real Dan 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Danfusi 2.50 2.5 5-1
3 2 Aintitfunkynow 4.00 3.1 6-1
11 9 Barleewon 8.00 3.7 7-1
12 10 Voliero 4.50 4 8-1
10 8 The Primitive Man 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 4 Operative 12.00 5.9 11-1
5 3 Stash My Money 15.00 6.4 12-1
9 7 Noble Mischief 30.00 8.4 16-1
8 6 Book of Delancey 50.00 9.4 18-1
2 2 Lexatoga 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Portfolio Hedge 1.60 SCRATCH
13 13 Justintimeforwine 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Constant Quest 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Dancers for Token 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Senrima 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Freedom and Whisky 50.00 11.1 21-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 1 Clara Peeters (GB) 1.80 1.1 2-1
10A 9 Stone Tornado (GB) 1.80 2 4-1
7 7 Lady Lawyer 6.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Devant (FR) 10.00 3.4 6-1
12 10 Madeleine Must (FR) 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Lady Grace 10.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Kitten’s Covergirl 15.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Kreesie 5.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Hannah’s Smile 8.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Queen Kahen 30.00 9.2 17-1
9 9 Nisha 50.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Lady Worthington 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Slimey 3.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Honor Way 2.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Getouttamyway 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 12 A d’Oro 3.50 1.6 3-1
9 8 Frenchie Frou Frou 15.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Deja Raconte 5.00 3.4 6-1
7 6 Vitanza 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Pretty Fabulous 20.00 4 8-1
2 2 High School Crush 4.00 4.2 8-1
15 13 Happy Hill Lil 8.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Miss Ross 10.00 5.5 10-1
13 11 Funderella 15.00 6.1 12-1
8 7 Empress Luciana 15.00 6.2 12-1
12 10 Angels and Us 20.00 6.6 12-1
11 9 Queentigua 50.00 9.9 19-1
5 5 Love and Luck 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Moniques Daredevil 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Keep Dreamin 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Sassy Secret 50.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Aced 6.00 2.1 4-1
8 7 Bears Mafia 8.00 2.4 5-1
10 9 Le General 2.50 2.9 6-1
13 11 Empire Line 3.00 3.2 6-1
7 6 Take It to Scale 8.00 3.2 6-1
12 10 Northern Haze 12.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Riken 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 5 Call the Cat 20.00 5.7 11-1
5 4 Mind Your Own Biz 20.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Alongcametheprince 50.00 7.5 14-1
9 8 Blue Skies Forever 50.00 9.6 18-1
3 3 Latin Love Bug 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Macha’s Reward 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Fleet Warrior 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Basquiat 2.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Mystic Guide 3.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Tap It to Win 4.00 3 6-1
8 8 Country Grammer 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Will Sing for Wine 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Nothing Better 15.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Famished 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Informative 15.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Tiller S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Corelli 10.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Standard Deviation 4.00 3.8 7-1
13 12 Channel Maker 4.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Petit Fils (FR) 15.00 4.1 8-1
11 10 Current 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Noble Indy 15.00 5 10-1
5 5 Dot Matrix 10.00 5.2 10-1
8 7 Sadler’s Joy 2.50 5.3 10-1
4 4 Highland Sky 20.00 7.1 13-1
9 8 Paret (AUS) 20.00 8.7 17-1
12 11 Hayabusa One (FR) 20.00 8.8 17-1
10 9 Go Poke the Bear 30.00 9.7 18-1
7 7 Focus Group 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Rocketry 1.60 SCRATCH
15 15 Its All Relevant 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 La Kara Mia 2.50 1.8 3-1
10 10 Cake 5.00 2 4-1
2 2 Snicket 3.50 2.4 5-1
9 9 Dancing Kiki 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Graetz 12.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Hunnybunnerdini 15.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Towering Gaze 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Shayna Bay 12.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Cemetery V I P 12.00 6 11-1
12 12 Henning’s Penny 20.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Plimsoll Anny 50.00 8.4 16-1
3 3 Luzmaria 50.00 9 17-1
13 13 Jewel of Arabia 1.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Brooklyn Heights 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.