May 31, 2020 Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shesomajestic | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Figure It Out | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Diamond Crazy | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miz Shelton | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Straitouttapopcorn | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Obsolete | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Skamania | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Strong Yen | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Here’s Carlos | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crush It | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | All Hansens Ondeck | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cave Run | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Summerduck | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | United Stand | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dark Arden | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ransack | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Alittlevodka | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Carmelo | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zanesville | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Lemon Blitz | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | New Year’s Luck | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pete Marwick | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yes I See | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fred’s Country Boy | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Rocko’s Wheel | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Star Dog | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr D’s Way | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Junket | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Silvertail | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Hey Kitten | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Swanage | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ginseng | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Seahawk Lisa | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | His Glory | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dixie Mo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | New Day Dawning | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Omnia | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Go Stormin Girl | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maggie’s Monarch | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Paris Lights | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Glamour Girl | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Curls and Bows | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jeweled Princess | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Plea | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | New Hope Road | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Free | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Portofina | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | English | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Flashback Bear | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Every Single Day | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cavatica | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Azlynn’s Dreamer | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Cold Hearted Wench | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Thank You Girl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Bionic Rosie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Ready to Play | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Annie’sgoldengirl | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Worthaprettypenny | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Whoville | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Bets | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Values | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zippy Ki Yay | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Slainte | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Annie | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Connection | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cold Smoke | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yamano Maker (JPN) | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Reelfoot | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Coltonator | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Deacon | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Special Reserve | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Our Turn | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | K W Captain Flint | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Critic | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Nashvegas | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stormin El Prado | 50.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Royal Commission | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Crystal Cliffs (FR) | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sneak Peek | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Witez | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | First Course | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Secure Connection | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pranked | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ella Brilla | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I Was Looking Up | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Queen Bridget | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Heart River | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Elusive Ride | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Audrey’s Time | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Panterita | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Shelley’s Gem | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Saracosa | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sara Sea | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Razeena | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Flag | 1.20 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Cash Out | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9A | 9 | Final Cut | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | More Roses | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Calf Moon Bay | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Subiaco | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Indy Union | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Britannia Kitten | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Cleveland Simpson | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Win d’Oro | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Reigning Spirit | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freedom’s Flight | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Midnight Jostar | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Opus North | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Ghostlore | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Vasariano | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 20 | 20 | Obiwan | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 19 | 19 | The Falcon | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Lastchanceatglory | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Barbaroni | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cavalry Charge | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ahnaf | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 17 | 17 | All About Will | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 18 | 18 | Tonaltalitarian | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Suggested | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 12 | Hillbilly Deluxe | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Indian Springs | 50.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.