May 30, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | California Kook | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oh Pretty Woman | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Warrior’s Moon | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Marjorie E | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Brahms Command | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hot On the Trail | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Nocherylikemychery | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Swing Thoughts | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rossman | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shanghai Curly | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Four O’Five | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sensuous | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Italian Fighter | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Calder Vale | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Seizetheday Rexy | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tick Tock | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Destiny’s Journey | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Paige Runner | 2.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mongolian Sunrise | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Samandah | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Bennet | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Beaumont Beaux | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Antithetical | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Poise to Strike | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | St. Geezy | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | U. S. Danger | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prince Ricky | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Geocas Street | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Irreproachable | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Brix | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rawhide Rawlins | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Count Alexei | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Malakai Moxie | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Stir the Pot | 4.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Utalknboutpractice | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Desert Swarm | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Zero Down | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kingofjesters | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Arimony | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Endless Tale | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rather Nosy | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s a Dime | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eternal Endeavour (GB) | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Road Rager | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pink Scatillac | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Honeymoon S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Stela Star (IRE) | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Parkour | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Laura’s Light | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Guitty (FR) | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Croughavouke (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | K P Dreamin | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Red Lark (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fashion Royalty (GB) | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Little Bird (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | Tiz a Unicorn | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Rain Diva | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Capital Heat | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Queensbeccaandjane | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Awesome Alessandra | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rational | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | Casillalater | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Keep It Classy | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Apache Pass | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Traffic Stopper | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 6 | Sweet Honor | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Lucky Daughter | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 7 | La Sabalera | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Rio Ocho (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whirl Candy | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Capital Call | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Premier League | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Canadian Luck | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tallien (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reprobate | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frasard (GB) | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Unusually Handsome | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cosmo | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Infatuate | 50.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.