Sports from the Basement

Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 24, 2020

May 24, 2020 Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Molly’s Game 4.00 3.6 7-1
12 11 Maria Rose 12.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Bonita Springs 5.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Fun Sucker 10.00 4.3 8-1
8 7 C Islandsurprise 5.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Check Six 3.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Sperling 15.00 5.5 10-1
9 8 Catty Krys 5.00 5.5 10-1
11 10 Morty 20.00 6.2 12-1
10 9 Maleficent Queen 20.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Ticket to Riches 20.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Sunrise Countessa 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 It’s All Cash 5.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Annoula 4.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Coco Caballo 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Champagne Affair 5.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Mesange 5.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 April Entry 10.00 5.3 10-1
12 12 Flame of Alberta 12.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Bizby 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Calika Rose 20.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Real Late 20.00 8 15-1
11 11 Proudly Fought 20.00 8.6 16-1
13 13 Better Angels 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Every Single Day 2.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Whoville 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Worthaprettypenny 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Supreme Irene 30.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 War Film 3.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Cashanova 4.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Big Beautiful Wall 10.00 4.9 9-1
11 10 Spanned 4.00 5 9-1
2 2 Stock Trade 6.00 5.3 10-1
9 8 Thomas Shelby 10.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Sun Lover (GB) 15.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Ecru 12.00 6.6 13-1
8 7 Lontani 15.00 7.3 14-1
12 11 Determinant 15.00 7.5 14-1
10 9 Briar Jumper 30.00 10 19-1
5 5 One Last Strike 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Whiskey Victor 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Shining Through 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Light of the World 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Vintage Hollywood 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Spanish Peaks 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Miss Is Zippy 4.00 2.5 5-1
13 11 Rain Dance 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 4 Complete Surprise 4.50 2.8 5-1
8 7 Strong Odor 8.00 2.8 5-1
10 9 Mariposa d’Oro 4.50 3 6-1
9 8 Gotta B the Salsa 10.00 4.2 8-1
11 10 Factor Around 10.00 4.5 8-1
7 6 Lily Chaser 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Lady O’Prado 20.00 7.5 14-1
6 5 More Moet Pleez 20.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Sally O’Brien 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Panini 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Sally 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Quiet Company 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Got a Good Notion 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Carina 3.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Bold Esther 2.50 3.3 6-1
11 10 Love My Honey 3.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Lemon Drop Twist 10.00 4.1 8-1
9 8 Isabelle’s Joy 12.00 5.9 11-1
8 7 Gianna’s Gift 15.00 6.1 12-1
14 12 All Fact 15.00 6.5 12-1
6 5 Promised Fame 20.00 6.9 13-1
13 11 She’s a Queen 20.00 7.4 14-1
4 3 Twisted Emotions 20.00 9.2 17-1
3 3 She Wants More 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Princess Daniela 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Indicating 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 My Girl Rocket 20.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Boots n’ Battle 20.00 10.1 19-1
7 6 Timely Miss 30.00 10.3 20-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sea of Blue 5.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Sister Kitten 4.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Sister Hanan 3.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Enjoyitwhilewecan 4.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Puca Penny 8.00 5.1 10-1
12 12 Crystal Lake 10.00 5.2 10-1
11A 11 How Ironic 10.00 6 11-1
10 10 Zurlin 15.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Appealing Audrey 12.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Julia’s Ready 20.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Miss Mosaic 20.00 9.1 17-1
3 3 Loving Moment 20.00 9.5 18-1
13 13 Confessing 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Jen Take Charge 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Private Beach 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Xanthique 30.00 SCRATCH
17 17 Ria Munk 5.00 SCRATCH
18 18 Black Kettle 4.00 SCRATCH
19A 19 Second Coming 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Oak Room 5.00 1.6 3-1
12 12 Per Capita 3.50 1.8 3-1
8 8 Backshot 4.00 2 4-1
6 6 Copper King 5.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Established 6.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Continuation 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Beacon Hill 15.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Pit Boss 15.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Haig Point 15.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Rogue Element 15.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Old Sot 20.00 6.8 13-1
13 13 Tartufo 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 First Line 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Tiz the Journey 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Oceanic 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Malahini 30.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Wicked Smart 5.00 1.7 3-1
11 11 Hallawallah 5.00 2 4-1
1 1 Charming Lady 4.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Club Car 4.50 2.5 5-1
9 9 Dos Vinos 6.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Four Grands 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Malibu Dawn 12.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Erv’s Wench 12.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Palace Avenger 12.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Kiss More 15.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Centerfold Angel 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Whispering Beauty 5.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Chaleur (GB) 6.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 War Cabinet 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Art of Almost 5.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Mercilla 4.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 Mighty Scarlett 4.50 4.8 9-1
7 7 Room to Finish 12.00 7.2 14-1
12 12 Angel of Mischief 12.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Wexx 12.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Tweety Show 20.00 9.3 18-1
13 13 Jungle Juice (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Eliade (FR) 3.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Clara Peeters (GB) 4.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Zuzanna 6.00 SCRATCH
17 17 High Regard 3.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Goodbye Earl 30.00 11.8 22-1
6 6 Lessons From Avery 30.00 12.2 23-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mojovation 3.00 2 4-1
5 5 Pete’s Play Call 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Almithmaar 5.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Archiemyboy 8.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Hard Belle 8.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Charge the Line 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Land Battle 8.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Holly Blame 15.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Westwood Proud 15.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Royal Blue Boy 20.00 6.8 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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