Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 23, 2020

May 23, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Silardi 3.50 2 4-1
5 5 Solo Animo 6.00 3.9 7-1
11 11 Restoring Dreams 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Tripoli 6.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Vertical Threat 12.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Inch 15.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Much More Halo 4.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Too Late 15.00 8.1 15-1
12 12 Highly Distorted 6.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 Joeys Ace 20.00 9.7 18-1
13 13 Duplicity 2.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Bravo 20.00 10.8 20-1
3 3 Big Cheddar 15.00 11.1 21-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Muralist 2.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Divine Armor 1.60 2.6 5-1
5 5 Future Vision 8.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Believe Now 2.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Still in the Game 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Next Revolt 15.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Distant Vista (IRE) 2.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Liar Liar (IRE) 1.80 2.3 4-1
6 6 Indian Peak 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 The Stiff 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Margot’s Boy 2.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Best Chance 12.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Scarlet Heat 2.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Charmingslew 3.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Tiz a Master 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Perfect Ice Storm 4.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Tiz Wonderfully 5.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Shanghai Barbie 12.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Kristi’s Tiger 10.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Daytona S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Texas Wedge 3.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Wildman Jack 2.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Stubbins 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Cistron 2.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Murad Khan (FR) 10.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Sparky Ville 20.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Blameitonthelaw 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Real Good Deal 2.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Sybil’s Kitty 3.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Midnight Garden 3.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Way too Sweet 3.00 4 8-1
7 7 Drop the Mic 6.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Diamond of Value 6.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 At the Margin 30.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Samurai Charm 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Too Much Heaven 4.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Sugar Pickel 6.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Galwalksintoabar 8.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Lovely Lilia 2.50 5.9 11-1
4 4 Biddy Duke 4.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Bluegrass Sky 12.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Vegan 12.00 8.7 17-1
2 2 Rstars and Stripes 12.00 9.2 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Charles Whittingham S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Rockemperor (IRE) 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 4 United 1.20 2.5 5-1
6 5 Originaire (IRE) 2.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Desert Stone (IRE) 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 3 Synthesis 30.00 4 8-1
2 2 Multiplier 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Bold Endeavor 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Dr. Hoffman 3.50 2.2 4-1
12 11 Salah 3.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Sharp Speaker 20.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 My Journey 4.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Posty 5.00 6 11-1
7 7 Mongolian Wind 12.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Vodka Twist 5.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Fabio 20.00 8 15-1
13 12 Ziyanair 12.00 9.6 18-1
11 11 Beaumont Beaux 0.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Royally Big 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Meadway 30.00 11.3 21-1
10 10 Starship Chewy 30.00 11.4 22-1
5 5 Papa Lorenzo 50.00 12.2 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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