Sports from the Basement

Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 23, 2020

May 23, 2020 Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Step Ten 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 No Bad Days 6.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Golden Notion 1.60 4.7 9-1
10 10 Pow Wow Prince 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Yashima 10.00 5 9-1
12 12 Looking At Liberty 10.00 5 10-1
4 4 My Name Is Phred 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Hug the Munny 12.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 White Wolf 15.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Victoryatvicksburg 20.00 7.7 14-1
6 6 Baby White Sox 30.00 9.2 17-1
13 13 Fast Cash 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Rob the Rich 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Quarterback Dak 5.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Suspect 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Judge Johnny 30.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Laddie Boy 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 2 Strut the Ring 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 3 Charlie’sarchangel 5.00 3.9 7-1
10 9 Dangerfield 10.00 4 8-1
6 5 Slick Silver 2.50 4.4 8-1
9 8 Altito 10.00 4.4 8-1
8 7 County Court 12.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 I Will Stand 12.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 Kearny County 30.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Tez 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Peddlers Pride 6.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Carolina Airness 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Bubba Caballo 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Fugitive 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Belfast Boy 8.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 Runyon 8.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Blame the Cake 5.00 4.8 9-1
12 12 League of Legends 10.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Verb 3.50 5.5 10-1
2 2 Wartime Hero 15.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Shadow Boat 15.00 5.9 11-1
13 13 Mulberry Street 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Inis Gluaire 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Quality Warrior 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Beacon Hill 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Full Authority 30.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Altaf 2.50 1.7 3-1
11 11 Bobby’s Goldengirl 5.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Valletta 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Take Charge Glenda 6.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Majorette 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Ready N Waiting 12.00 4 8-1
12 12 Ithaca Falls 12.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Maid of Honor 15.00 5.6 10-1
3 3 Angel de Cora 20.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Deep Space 20.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Take Charge Patti 20.00 8 15-1
13 13 Free 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Market Rumor 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Ocean Breeze 10.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Wild Love 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Blonde by Nature 30.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Parlor 6.00 2.8 5-1
10 9 Hembree 8.00 2.9 6-1
9 8 Mr. Misunderstood 5.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Just Howard 10.00 3.9 7-1
12 11 English Bee 5.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Caribou Club 5.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Doctor Mounty 12.00 4.4 8-1
8 7 First Premio 12.00 5.7 11-1
13 12 Real Story 15.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Spooky Channel 12.00 6.8 13-1
11 10 Made You Look 30.00 8.8 17-1
7 7 A Thread of Blue 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Get Western 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Fact Finding 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Mick’s Star 30.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Picasso 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Get the Prize 2.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 High Crime 3.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Zoe’s Delight 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Bigmancan 12.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Hidden Ruler 10.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Breaking News 12.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 He’s a Babe 15.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Flatster 20.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Smart Time 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Creme de Cerise 30.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Shawnee S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 She’s a Julie 2.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Another Broad 10.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Dunbar Road 0.80 3 6-1
6 6 Vault 10.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Moonlit Garden 15.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Awe Emma 12.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Chocolate Kisses 15.00 4 8-1
7 7 Flower Party (IRE) 30.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Tepin S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Abscond 8.00 3.1 6-1
14 12 Alms 3.00 3.6 7-1
9 8 Sharing 3.00 3.6 7-1
15 13 Eve of War 12.00 3.6 7-1
12 10 Moral Reasoning 12.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Walk In Marrakesh (IRE) 10.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Outburst (GB) 5.00 4 8-1
4 4 Dominga 15.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 In Good Spirits 15.00 4.9 9-1
8 7 Jezebel’s Kitten 15.00 5.1 10-1
10 9 Pass the Plate 20.00 5.8 11-1
13 11 Queen of God 30.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Hendy Woods 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Heir of Light 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Oxum Power 50.00 11.7 22-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Blame S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Owendale 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 5 Backyard Heaven 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 2 Global Campaign 4.50 4.2 8-1
7 6 Silver Dust 8.00 4.4 8-1
14 12 Diamond King 10.00 4.4 8-1
13 11 Mr. Money 5.00 4.6 9-1
9 8 Extrordinary Jerry 12.00 4.8 9-1
10 9 Snapper Sinclair 15.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Long Range Toddy 20.00 7.5 14-1
4 3 Alwaysmining 20.00 7.8 15-1
5 4 Everfast 30.00 8.3 16-1
12 10 Discreet Lover 30.00 9 17-1
2 2 Bourbon Resolution 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 American Anthem 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Matt Winn S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 9 Attachment Rate 4.00 2.8 5-1
12 10 Major Fed 5.00 3.2 6-1
10 8 Maxfield 2.50 3.7 7-1
2 1 Pneumatic 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Ny Traffic 10.00 4.5 9-1
9 7 Shake Some Action 12.00 6 11-1
7 6 Necker Island 15.00 6.5 12-1
3 2 Informative 20.00 7.5 14-1
5 4 Flap Jack 20.00 7.8 15-1
4 3 Celtic Striker 20.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Mystic Guide 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Crypto Cash 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – War Chant S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 12 Billy Batts 5.00 2.6 5-1
12 11 Pixelate 6.00 2.9 6-1
5 4 Field Pass 4.00 3 6-1
9 8 Smooth Like Strait 5.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 Hieronymus 4.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Bodecream 12.00 4 7-1
10 9 Shared Sense 15.00 4.1 8-1
11 10 Street Ready 15.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Island Commish 12.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 South Bend 12.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 Bama Breeze 30.00 6.3 12-1
8 7 Liam’s Pride 30.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Vanzzy 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Natural Power (IRE) 15.00 SCRATCH
14 13 Fenwick Station 50.00 10.7 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Begins Sat, May 30 12:45 PM ET
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