May 15, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Drop the Chalupa | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rager | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | K P Indy | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kanderel | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She’s So Special | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Governance | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Commander (FR) | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Party Town | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shootin Money | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Thanks Mr. Eidson | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Smileforme | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Honor | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Curvaceous | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Talia | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run Like Kona | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flying Business | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Instastory | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Ryleigh | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Spreckels | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Queensbeccaandjane | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Reds Tribal Heart | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Awesome Alessandra | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Lucky Daughter | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Gem of a Tiger | 30.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Some Royalty | 30.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Tale of the Union | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Galilean | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silken Prince | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jan’s Reserve | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strictly Biz | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oil Can Knight | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kneedeepinsnow | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Appreciated | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zimba Warrior | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Christmas Pickles | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pammi Dearest | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | It’s a Riddle | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Elemental | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kirsch Truffle | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Bonnie Lass | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Polar Route | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stick Up | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dabzilla | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Don’t Stop Lookin | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Gypsy Spirit (GB) | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arctic Roll (GB) | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ellie Arroway | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hollywood Girl | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kookie Gal | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pretty Point | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Quinnie | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heathers Grey | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lucia’s Design | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lostintranzlation | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sapphire Kid | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Treasure Hunter | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Adens Dream | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Erotic | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oh Marvelous Me | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Buster Douglas (BRZ) | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Black Storm | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | C Dub | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | R Cha Cha | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Original Intent | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Caught in a Trappe | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Csaba Momma | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kayla’s Cowgirl | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tenga’s Jubilee | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Civil Suit | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kuda Huraa | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Melodie | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Probable | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Secret of War | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | La Sabalera | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Dupioni (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Muchly (GB) | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quick (GB) | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tap Into Beauty | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Avalon Ride | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Madame Bourbon | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Legend Emma (IRE) | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Catch the Eye | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Teachers Big Dream | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lavender (IRE) | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fashion Royalty (GB) | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | American Code | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Valuation | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Canadian Luck | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Lane Way | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ka’nah | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Candy Fury | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Mel | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rayray | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Goboldly | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Newell | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Twirling Derby | 50.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Diamond Ranger | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.