Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 15, 2020

May 15, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Gran Old Parr 1.80 1.2 2-1
9 9 Embustero 6.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Hero of the Future 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Anima d’Or 4.00 SCRATCH
8 5 King of the South 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Rank and File 4.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Last Jet Out 20.00 SCRATCH
6 3 Mr. Vecchio 15.00 5.8 11-1
10 6 Ninth of April 20.00 7.4 14-1
7 4 Diamond Port 30.00 8.9 17-1
11 7 Atakan 30.00 9 17-1
12 8 Valid Exchange 30.00 9.8 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 King’s Castle 20.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Travy Boy 2.00 1.5 3-1
2 1 Arrivederla 4.00 1.8 3-1
3 2 Take Charge Dude 1.40 2.1 4-1
4 3 Killa Dee 4.50 2.7 5-1
5 4 Li’l Meatball 20.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 4 Inedatequila 5.00 1.6 3-1
13 13 Gran Etiqueta 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Gauzy 4.50 2.6 5-1
11 5 Sunday Scheming 8.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Grimpante 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Madame Moon 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Letsnotgetoexcited 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Cherokee Sound 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Lovely Lucky 10.00 SCRATCH
12 6 Toned Up 15.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Laska 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Truly 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Miss Cheeny 50.00 9.7 18-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Uncle George 3.00 SCRATCH
10 6 Sagamore Mischief 2.00 2.4 5-1
5 4 Charliecando 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Caribbean Gold 2.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Sail At Sunrise 12.00 SCRATCH
8 5 Allegedly Perfect 8.00 4 8-1
4 3 Fluent in Sarcasm 10.00 4.2 8-1
11 7 Handsome Guy 15.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Thenextbestthing 4.50 SCRATCH
3 2 Carson and I 20.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Prince Igor 30.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Talkthetalk 1.80 1.9 4-1
1 1 Mystic Comin Home 3.50 2 4-1
4 4 Toonie Loonie 6.00 3 6-1
5 5 Miss Maris 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 No Se Vende 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 The Gospel of John 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Katniss Kan 15.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Speedy Hans 2.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Swing West 4.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Fried Rice King 2.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Tons of Gold 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Blessed Journey 10.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Rodeo Red 12.00 5 9-1
8 8 Youcantcatchcurlin 20.00 6 11-1
3 3 Viper 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Spiced Rum Punch 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Lil Bit Dangerous 3.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Strella’s War 1.40 SCRATCH
4 4 Paola’s Team 3.50 3 6-1
10 6 Time to Two Step 2.00 3 6-1
9 5 Abarrio Forever 12.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Elite Appeal 1.80 SCRATCH
1 1 Ohmymy 20.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Onezy’s Dream 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Angelic Knugget 50.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lovely Lady Lexi 2.00 2 4-1
6 5 Dancing Destroyer 3.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Bibiana 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Solid as a Rock 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Go Gator Girl Go 12.00 4.6 9-1
5 4 Royal Mistress 12.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Customerexperience 4.50 SCRATCH
8 6 Grey Jazmine 20.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Blakey 3.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 French Quarter 2.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Cometin 4.00 2.6 5-1
10 9 So Long Chuck 6.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Desert General 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Sensational Ride 10.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Pango 20.00 SCRATCH
11 10 Big Boy Bruno 20.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Dakota’s Dude 20.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Royalston 30.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Mr. Creative 30.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Hollywood Wildcat S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Money Never Sleeps 15.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Tonalist’s Shape 1.60 2.4 5-1
7 5 Dream Marie 5.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Wanderlust 20.00 SCRATCH
8 6 Cheermeister 3.50 3.1 6-1
6 4 Vigilantes Way 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 3 Up in Smoke 4.00 3.4 6-1
2 1 Pleasant Orb 10.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 The Big Joker 6.00 3.3 6-1
11 8 Happy Danza 3.50 3.3 6-1
9 6 Maquiavelo 5.00 3.4 6-1
6 4 Super Intense 10.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Mr Impressive 2.50 SCRATCH
10 7 Mammoth 12.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Makinalegacy 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Nothin But Net 1.00 SCRATCH
7 5 Awesome Enough 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Swingin On a Star 20.00 6.7 13-1
4 2 Youreoutofcontrol 30.00 8.8 17-1
12 9 King of the North 30.00 9.4 18-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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