Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 3, 2020

May 3, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Etana 1.00 2.3 4-1
12 12 Marianna Queen 6.00 4.1 8-1
13 13 Party Dress 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Crystalina 8.00 4.9 9-1
14 14 Wicket Hope 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Nenita 10.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Aunt Irene 12.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Malibu Too 15.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Upsy Daisy Do 15.00 7 13-1
11 11 Anglico 20.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Signing Bonus 15.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Amber Princess 20.00 8 15-1
5 5 Lookn Fine as Wine 20.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 Uncut 30.00 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Candy Crushem 1.00 2 4-1
4 4 Millionaire Runner 4.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Animal Trick 5.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Desert General 10.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Si Es Goya 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Summer Mischief 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Takedown 20.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Shidoshi 30.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 He’s Smokin Hot 30.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Budget Buster 3.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Sir Chubby 3.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Joe Benjamin 4.50 2.7 5-1
5 4 Guaco 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Traceability 8.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Fantastry (BRZ) 8.00 4 8-1
8 7 Aransas 10.00 5.3 10-1
9 8 Isle of Man 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 The Mormon Mauler 15.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Getthe Muny Bernie 3.50 1.3 2-1
5 4 Flying Finish 4.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Papa Luke 6.00 2.4 4-1
8 7 Thrill Ride 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 3 Harper 4.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Sir Kahn 8.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Competitive Saint 8.00 3.6 7-1
9 8 Odds It’s Real 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Battle Rags 15.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Congrats That 5.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Conquer 6.00 SCRATCH
11 10 Hudson Overpass 4.50 2.4 5-1
10 9 Wild One Forever 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Venerate 8.00 3.2 6-1
12 11 Poppy’s Destiny 6.00 3.3 6-1
13 13 War Act 8.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Felon 12.00 5.1 10-1
9 8 Shanghai Levi 15.00 5.7 11-1
5 4 Put It On Detti 15.00 7 13-1
7 6 Reagan’s Heart 20.00 7 13-1
6 5 Gator Fifty Two 30.00 8.9 17-1
8 7 Pricey Victory 30.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Days of Spring 2.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Tournesol 4.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Joyous Times 3.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 La Cara Bonita 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Toffen 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Life On the Edge 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Go Gator Girl Go 12.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Just a Bit Sassy 12.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Token 1.60 1.9 4-1
6 6 Guazza 3.00 2 4-1
3 3 Estilo Talentoso 4.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Lasting Union 10.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Sport’n Forty 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Dance d’Oro 12.00 4 8-1
7 7 So Elusive 12.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Awesomenewyear 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Karenina 3.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Moon Eyes 3.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Henny’s Treasure 4.50 2.4 5-1
9 8 Magic River 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 For Kicks 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Cassidy’s Smile 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 7 Golden Tap 10.00 3.8 7-1
11 10 Stamina Princess 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Paola’s Team 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Mi Karlita 30.00 8.2 16-1
2 2 Babybel 30.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Boerne 2.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 Velvet Crush 3.50 2 4-1
3 3 Spanish Point 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Vast 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Sweet Mia 4.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Naked Avenger 8.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Outshine 3.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Souper Courage 4.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Stock Trade 6.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Rule Yourself 8.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Devoted Kitten 4.50 2.9 6-1
10 10 Volubile 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Machiavelli 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Bold Paynter 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Gins and Tins 12.00 5 9-1
5 5 Centerfoldprospect 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Aurelia Garland 4.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Cory Gal 3.50 2.1 4-1
10 9 Flashing Diamond 4.50 3.5 7-1
4 3 R Prerogative 6.00 4 7-1
2 1 Midtown Rose 6.00 4 8-1
5 4 Moonstone 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Fujairah 10.00 5.1 10-1
8 7 Crumb Bun 15.00 6.7 13-1
3 2 Short Summer Dress 20.00 6.9 13-1
7 6 Tale of Success 15.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Keep Quiet (FR) 4.50 2 4-1
6 6 Donji 6.00 2.4 5-1
10 9 Bourbon in May 1.80 2.9 6-1
2 2 Til the End 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Robintakincharge 8.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Crown to the Gold 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 American Ninja 10.00 4 8-1
8 8 King Orb 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Solar Warming 15.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Totono 20.00 5.7 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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