May 3, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Etana | 1.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
12 | 12 | Marianna Queen | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
13 | 13 | Party Dress | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | Crystalina | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
14 | 14 | Wicket Hope | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Nenita | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
6 | 6 | Aunt Irene | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
7 | 7 | Malibu Too | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
1 | 1 | Upsy Daisy Do | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
11 | 11 | Anglico | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
9 | 9 | Signing Bonus | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
2 | 2 | Amber Princess | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
5 | 5 | Lookn Fine as Wine | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
10 | 10 | Uncut | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Candy Crushem | 1.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Millionaire Runner | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | Animal Trick | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
8 | 8 | Desert General | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
9 | 9 | Si Es Goya | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Summer Mischief | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Takedown | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
1 | 1 | Shidoshi | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
7 | 7 | He’s Smokin Hot | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 6 | Budget Buster | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
3 | 3 | Sir Chubby | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
1 | 1 | Joe Benjamin | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
5 | 4 | Guaco | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
4 | 4 | Traceability | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 5 | Fantastry (BRZ) | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
8 | 7 | Aransas | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
9 | 8 | Isle of Man | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | The Mormon Mauler | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 5 | Getthe Muny Bernie | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
5 | 4 | Flying Finish | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
1 | 1 | Papa Luke | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
8 | 7 | Thrill Ride | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
4 | 3 | Harper | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Sir Kahn | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 2 | Competitive Saint | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
9 | 8 | Odds It’s Real | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
7 | 6 | Battle Rags | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Congrats That | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
3 | 3 | Conquer | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 10 | Hudson Overpass | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
10 | 9 | Wild One Forever | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Venerate | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
12 | 11 | Poppy’s Destiny | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
13 | 13 | War Act | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 3 | Felon | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
9 | 8 | Shanghai Levi | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
5 | 4 | Put It On Detti | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
7 | 6 | Reagan’s Heart | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
6 | 5 | Gator Fifty Two | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
8 | 7 | Pricey Victory | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Days of Spring | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
2 | 2 | Tournesol | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
7 | 7 | Joyous Times | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
8 | 8 | La Cara Bonita | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Toffen | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Life On the Edge | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Go Gator Girl Go | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
6 | 6 | Just a Bit Sassy | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Token | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Guazza | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Estilo Talentoso | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Lasting Union | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
8 | 8 | Sport’n Forty | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Dance d’Oro | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | So Elusive | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Awesomenewyear | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 9 | Karenina | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
6 | 6 | Moon Eyes | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
5 | 5 | Henny’s Treasure | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
9 | 8 | Magic River | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | For Kicks | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
4 | 4 | Cassidy’s Smile | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
8 | 7 | Golden Tap | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
11 | 10 | Stamina Princess | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
7 | 7 | Paola’s Team | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
1 | 1 | Mi Karlita | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
2 | 2 | Babybel | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Boerne | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
5 | 5 | Velvet Crush | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Spanish Point | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Vast | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Sweet Mia | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Naked Avenger | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Outshine | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
2 | 2 | Souper Courage | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
9 | 9 | Stock Trade | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | Rule Yourself | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Devoted Kitten | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
10 | 10 | Volubile | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Machiavelli | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
8 | 8 | Bold Paynter | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
7 | 7 | Gins and Tins | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
5 | 5 | Centerfoldprospect | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Aurelia Garland | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 8 | Cory Gal | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
10 | 9 | Flashing Diamond | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
4 | 3 | R Prerogative | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
2 | 1 | Midtown Rose | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
5 | 4 | Moonstone | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
6 | 5 | Fujairah | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
8 | 7 | Crumb Bun | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
3 | 2 | Short Summer Dress | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
7 | 6 | Tale of Success | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Keep Quiet (FR) | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
6 | 6 | Donji | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
10 | 9 | Bourbon in May | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
2 | 2 | Til the End | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
7 | 7 | Robintakincharge | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
9 | 9 | Crown to the Gold | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
1 | 1 | American Ninja | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
8 | 8 | King Orb | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
4 | 4 | Solar Warming | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
3 | 3 | Totono | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.