Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 1, 2020

May 1, 2020 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Willow Moon 10.00 1.1 2-1
11 11 Westlodge Intrigue 15.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Molly’s Game 6.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Giro Kate 8.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Point Streak 10.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Cook Memories 10.00 3.5 7-1
12 12 Gemini Journey 10.00 4 8-1
5 5 As Fast as You Can 15.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Miss Ocean Express 20.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 C P Quality 4.00 7.4 14-1
13 13 Cowgirl Callie 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Dichotomy 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Moonlight Train 10.00 11.7 22-1
9 9 Destiny’s Love 3.00 13.8 26-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Roar of the Lion 12.00 1 2-1
7 6 C H Jay 30.00 1 2-1
12 11 Peppered 10.00 1.1 2-1
8 7 Colombard 20.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Baquero Flies 15.00 3.4 6-1
4 3 Mr. Ankeny 8.00 3.6 7-1
10 9 Coworker 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Praetorian 3.50 4 7-1
6 5 Post Close 20.00 6.5 12-1
11 10 Tez 4.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Mo’s Mojo 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Pioneer Dancer 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Dahik 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 So Alive 3.00 13.8 26-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Napili 20.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Presley 8.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Too Pretty 5.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Blue Mermaid 50.00 3 6-1
13 12 Jeweled Crown 15.00 3.8 7-1
10 9 Lil Tater 4.50 4.5 9-1
2 2 All About Clara 6.00 7.2 14-1
12 11 R Marie 15.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Tiddly 8.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 The Mary Rose 2.50 8.7 16-1
9 9 Rosemary Beach 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Mocha Kiss 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Lucky Every Day 10.00 10.4 20-1
1 1 Bettyann 12.00 10.6 20-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mallard’s Bro 15.00 1.2 2-1
12 12 Dream Baby Dream 15.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Dapper Jack 4.50 3 6-1
5 5 Titochip 12.00 3 6-1
7 7 Plumbago 30.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Satellite 6.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Candy My Boy 8.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Bubbas Dixie 3.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Kristo 20.00 6 11-1
11 11 Parched 10.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 H. M. S. Pinafore 12.00 7.4 14-1
13 13 All About Ashley 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Powerful Ally 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Hinton 4.00 13.6 26-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Colonelsdarktemper 10.00 1 2-1
7 6 Lngtermrelationshp 6.00 1 2-1
6 5 Croatian 5.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Landofthepharaohs 12.00 2.3 4-1
11 9 Exemplar 20.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Malibu Pro 4.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Gigging 8.00 6.2 12-1
5 4 Tashkent 10.00 9.3 18-1
12 10 Degrom 4.50 9.3 18-1
4 4 Coal Truth 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Lookin for Eight 8.00 SCRATCH
10 8 Futile 20.00 11.8 22-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fast Cash 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Serbian Sailor 30.00 1 2-1
3 3 Fleetwood Shac 12.00 1 2-1
4 4 High Proof 20.00 1 2-1
6 6 Silardi 10.00 1 2-1
7 7 Mundacious 12.00 1 2-1
8 8 The Feature 20.00 1 2-1
9 9 Super Constitution 8.00 1 2-1
10 10 Onaway 2.50 1 2-1
12 12 Inis Gluaire 3.00 1 2-1
11 11 Vasariano 10.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Kickin’ Kirby 15.00 1.4 3-1
13 13 Toussaint 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 J Z My Man 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Arkansas Breeders’ Championship S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Bandit Point 10.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Hamazing Vision 4.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Souixper Charger 8.00 1.5 3-1
10 10 Glacken’s Ghost 15.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Promising Shoes 5.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 J. E.’s Handmedown 15.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Prospector Fever 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 K J’s Nobility 2.50 4.1 8-1
8 8 Heritage Park 20.00 4.1 8-1
11 11 Man in the Can 6.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Destiny Way 20.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Gardenia S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Turnstone 30.00 0.7 1-1
2 1 Piece of My Heart 8.00 1 2-1
12 9 Shanghai Keely 30.00 1.1 2-1
11 8 His Glory 8.00 2 4-1
8 6 Comical 15.00 2.1 4-1
3 2 Gingham 3.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Daphne Moon 4.00 2.8 5-1
7 5 Strong Flag 4.50 2.9 5-1
10 7 Antoinette 8.00 8.2 16-1
1 1 Black Kat Taps 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Quick Decision 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Ice Princess 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Kiss the Girl 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Punk Rock Princess 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Fantasy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Shedaresthedevil 12.00 0.8 2-1
6 6 Kansas Kis 30.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Swiss Skydiver 6.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Lady Glamour 50.00 3.9 7-1
11 11 Fire Coral 15.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Lake Avenue 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Harvey’s Lil Goil 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Venetian Harbor 2.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Ice Princess 20.00 8.1 15-1
14 14 Alta’s Award 12.00 8.1 15-1
13 13 Lazy Daisy 20.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Ring Leader 30.00 9.6 18-1
12 12 New York Groove 20.00 13.7 26-1
10 10 British Idiom 2.50 13.7 26-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 2 Rahway 30.00 0.8 2-1
7 4 Wholehearted 2.50 1 2-1
10 7 Unique Factor 12.00 1.7 3-1
3 1 Sara Sea 15.00 1.7 3-1
9 6 Profound Legacy 30.00 1.7 3-1
12 9 Fugitive Lady 30.00 3.1 6-1
13 10 Stirred 10.00 4 8-1
11 8 Raintree Starlet 30.00 4.1 8-1
6 3 Spend Spend Spend 3.50 4.8 9-1
1 1 Miss Imperial 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Violation 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Full of Grace 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Timely Tradition 12.00 SCRATCH
8 5 La Chancla 4.00 13.9 26-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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