Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 25, 2020

April 25, 2020 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Even Higher 30.00 1 2-1
10 10 I Stan for Love 20.00 1 2-1
3 3 Into Orbit 30.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Hamazing Song 30.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Slightly Crafty 15.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Pearlthirtyeight 12.00 1.2 2-1
11 11 Mr. Cougar 10.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Blanco Bronco 10.00 1.3 2-1
12 12 Jimmie T 3.50 1.3 2-1
6 6 Pay Dirt 8.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Chicken Hawk 5.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Implicator 1.80 1.4 3-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 11 Mostly Sunny 15.00 1.1 2-1
9 8 Shakedown 15.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Carmelo 10.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Esposito 3.00 5.6 11-1
8 7 Switheral 20.00 6.1 12-1
10 9 Omen of Change 8.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 High Risk Strategy 6.00 7.6 14-1
11 10 Adulator 5.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Hyndford 12.00 9.2 17-1
5 5 Italian Charm 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Tres Equis 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 R H Smoakem 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Cool Catomine 20.00 11.4 22-1
7 6 River Echo (GB) 3.50 12.4 23-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 My Vow Is Courage 20.00 1 2-1
4 4 I Lived It 10.00 1.1 2-1
12 12 Uncle Tap 8.00 1.1 2-1
10 10 Special Pryce 20.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Fearless Rocket 15.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Maybe a Spider 15.00 1.3 3-1
8 8 Da Gold Room 20.00 1.3 3-1
9 9 Knockout Bert 20.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Flexati 4.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Connection 3.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 North Side 2.00 1.4 3-1
11 11 Allen’s Rocket 20.00 1.5 3-1
13 13 Wild Tonight 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Preacher 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Catdaddy 15.00 1 2-1
3 3 Shortlist 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Street to Indy 3.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Morse Code 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Exemplar 12.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Candy Carlos 6.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Hunka Burning Love 4.50 7.7 15-1
5 5 County Court 15.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Hardly a Secret 4.00 8.9 17-1
7 7 Shakes Creek 15.00 9.8 18-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Stormin Hongkong 30.00 0.8 2-1
8 8 Flat Lucky 10.00 1.2 2-1
11 11 Jerrys Pridenjoy 12.00 1.3 2-1
9 9 Boyfriend Material 8.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Pat Daddy 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 Silver Ride 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Drop of Golden Sun 20.00 6 11-1
3 3 Big Bella Brown 5.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Richiesgotswagger 12.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Youvesaiditall 15.00 9.2 17-1
6 6 Town Champ 2.50 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Almithmaar 15.00 1.1 2-1
9 9 Lenstar 15.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Tringale 12.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 St. Joe Bay 2.50 3.8 7-1
8 8 Awesome Saturday 10.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Nero 3.50 6.3 12-1
1 1 Drena’s Star 6.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Wilbo 8.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Gray Attempt 10.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Firecrow 5.00 9.8 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Jungle Warfare 6.00 1.3 2-1
5 4 Determinant 8.00 2.3 4-1
6 5 Coach Adams 8.00 3 6-1
1 1 Mississippi 15.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Tapsolute 8.00 4.1 8-1
12 11 One Last Strike 15.00 4.6 9-1
8 7 Knight’s Cross 8.00 5.7 11-1
13 12 Pickford 4.50 5.7 11-1
7 6 Candy Store 4.50 6.9 13-1
10 9 Secret Touch 6.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Perfectly Majestic 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Cashanova 5.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Federal Case 3.50 12 23-1
9 8 Light of the World 30.00 13.7 26-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 My Sister Madi 20.00 0.4 1-1
10 9 Beautiful Tale 10.00 0.6 1-1
12 11 A. P. Princess 15.00 1.1 2-1
5 4 Nomizar 4.50 2 4-1
2 2 Lady of Luxury 12.00 2.7 5-1
4 3 Sneaking Out 3.50 2.7 5-1
11 10 Potra Liza 20.00 2.9 5-1
9 8 Bye Bye J 4.00 5.3 10-1
8 7 Ready to Runaway 6.00 5.9 11-1
6 5 On Deck 10.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Bootytama 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Ilchester Cheetah 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Flat Out Speed 12.00 12.8 24-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Bachelor S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Lykan 8.00 0.5 1-1
3 2 Echo Town 4.50 5.8 11-1
8 5 Sir Rick 30.00 8.7 16-1
7 4 Eight Rings 2.50 8.8 17-1
9 6 Long Weekend 3.00 8.8 17-1
1 1 Little Menace 4.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Beau Oxy 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Ginobili 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Liam’s Pride 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Carousel S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lady Suebee 20.00 0.3 0-1
5 5 Classy Act 15.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sunny Dale 6.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Midnight Fantasy 5.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Mia Mischief 4.50 6.1 12-1
4 4 What a Fox 8.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Amy’s Challenge 4.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Bellafina 1.60 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Belfast Boy 30.00 1 2-1
10 10 Majestic Display 20.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 All About Will 12.00 1.3 2-1
9 9 Ronamo 10.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 A. K. Safari 10.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Lookin High 15.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Unrighteous 2.50 1.3 3-1
6 6 Aztec Empire 5.00 1.3 3-1
12 12 Tiz the Journey 12.00 1.3 3-1
11 11 On d’Oro 8.00 1.3 3-1
1 1 Copper King 3.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Violent Pass 15.00 1.4 3-1
13 13 Scale 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Working Title 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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