Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 19, 2020

April 19, 2020 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Half Scout 20.00 1 2-1
1 1 Spot’s Maine Girl 15.00 1 2-1
3 3 Expansionist 15.00 1 2-1
4 4 Bonita’s Gold 30.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Elusive Secret 30.00 1.3 2-1
13 12 Napili 3.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Five Queens 8.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Luck’s Good Girl 50.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Will B Late 10.00 1.4 3-1
12 11 Line of Faith 8.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Sailaway and Hide 6.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Run Ballerina 1.20 1.5 3-1
10 10 Miss Antioch 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Esther 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Violent Speed 20.00 1.2 2-1
4 3 Symphony Hall 2.50 3.4 6-1
2 1 Heart River 12.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Stalemate 12.00 4.3 8-1
8 7 Triple Bold Baby 10.00 6 11-1
11 10 Ms Big Spring 10.00 6 11-1
5 4 Lil Red Vette 3.50 6.7 13-1
3 2 Contendress 15.00 9.7 18-1
9 8 Foreign Exchange 8.00 9.8 19-1
1 1 Sentimentaljourney 15.00 SCRATCH
10A 9 Big Affair 4.50 10 19-1
12A 11 Frontier Woman 4.50 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Gypsy Wife 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 Unburnt 20.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Broadway Burn 10.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 House Drunk 20.00 1.3 2-1
11 10 English Escort 12.00 1.3 2-1
9 9 Mi Bella 6.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Addi 5.00 1.3 3-1
8 8 Sacred Union 3.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Great in Red 6.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Shackadelic 4.50 1.4 3-1
10 10 Golden Lily 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Despina 20.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Dynamite Daughters 20.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Mia Promessa 8.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Our Slick Chick 6.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Almyra 15.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Our Girl Abby 4.50 7.6 14-1
4 4 Can’t Touch Me 12.00 7.7 14-1
6 6 Honor With Pride 20.00 8.9 17-1
11 11 All Fact 3.50 9 17-1
13 13 Lippy 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Lemon Drop Twist 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 My Darling Sofia 3.00 11 21-1
1 1 R Marie 20.00 11.7 22-1
12 12 Close to Me 10.00 13.5 26-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Rocket Strike 8.00 1 2-1
4 3 Rob the Rich 6.00 1 2-1
12 11 Cool Edge 12.00 1 2-1
5 4 Big Bad Bud 20.00 1.3 2-1
7 6 Gumwrapper 10.00 1.3 2-1
10 9 Litany 4.50 1.3 2-1
9 8 Greater Cairo 4.00 1.3 3-1
13 12 Bobby Axelrod 2.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Good Sugar 20.00 1.4 3-1
6 5 Baringer Spring 3.50 1.4 3-1
3 2 Wilshire Diamond 15.00 1.4 3-1
8 7 Jerry’s Got Aces 10.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Northern Highline 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Revenio 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Air Power 10.00 0.8 1-1
12 10 Ceeky 12.00 0.8 2-1
8 6 Here’s Carlos 4.50 2 4-1
10 8 Snaggletooth 20.00 2 4-1
9 7 It Is Dejavu 10.00 2.1 4-1
3 2 President Elect 20.00 3.4 6-1
5 4 Burciaga 6.00 4 7-1
1 1 Sing Him a Song 5.00 4.6 9-1
13 11 Tre Lee Divine 20.00 4.7 9-1
4 3 Family Code 10.00 6.8 13-1
11 9 Guska Mon Shoes 3.50 9.9 19-1
2 2 Piantagrane 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Pete Marwick 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Monydontspenitself 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Heros Reward 20.00 1.1 2-1
3 2 Hard to Park 30.00 2 4-1
10 8 Oro de Tejano 4.50 2 4-1
4 3 Wicked Indeed 5.00 2.9 6-1
7 5 Golden Sceptor 15.00 3.5 7-1
6 4 Jay Vee Bee 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 6 Davidic Line 6.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Dack Janiel’s 3.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Adhhar 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Its My Bag Baby 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Jaccat 6.00 0.8 2-1
3 3 Cherished 5.00 0.9 2-1
6 5 Ready Orb Not 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 First Alternate 4.50 1 2-1
10 9 Summer Storm 15.00 1.9 4-1
9 8 Whimsical Muse 3.50 2 4-1
1 1 Jewel Thief 4.00 4.7 9-1
8 7 Joy in the Journey 20.00 5.8 11-1
7 6 Lovely Lilia 8.00 9.8 19-1
5 5 War Ballad 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Lone Sailor 12.00 0.5 1-1
5 5 Musical America 6.00 1.1 2-1
12 12 Kershaw 8.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Sharp Prospect 12.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Guest Suite 10.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Thirstforlife 30.00 4 8-1
2 2 Two Thirty Five 5.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Lone Rock 8.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Dr. Dorr 4.50 4.8 9-1
8 8 My Sixth Sense 3.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Tone Broke 30.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 Shang 20.00 11.6 22-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ocean Breeze 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Dancewiththedevil 30.00 1 2-1
3 3 Tiz a Goddess 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Ms. Dragonette 30.00 1 2-1
7 7 Gypsy’s Feather 20.00 1 2-1
8 8 It’s Mine 4.50 1 2-1
11 11 Skykat 20.00 1 2-1
9 9 Saintsation 8.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Eden 12.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Visual Magic 10.00 1.3 2-1
12 12 Merneith 1.80 1.3 2-1
10 10 Good Shabbos 10.00 1.3 3-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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