Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 18, 2020

April 18, 2020 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Begin the Begin 15.00 1 2-1
8 8 Fast Recovery 15.00 1 2-1
9 9 Rivers of Lite 3.50 1.1 2-1
12 12 Grassetto 30.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Tough Company 15.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Data Cat 20.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Wyoming Conquest 12.00 1.4 3-1
10 10 Mayan Ghost 8.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Written Permission 4.00 1.4 3-1
11 11 Parolee 6.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Wenyen 5.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 My Legacy 6.00 1.5 3-1
13 13 Stormy Cactusa 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Not Fade Away 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mutineer 8.00 0.4 1-1
6 6 Georgia Deputy 20.00 1 2-1
11 11 Knowyouroptions 10.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Times Square 8.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Painted Canyon 15.00 1.6 3-1
10 10 Majors Vindication 12.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Mica Bay 5.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Delp 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Executive Branch 4.00 5 9-1
8 8 Most Amusing 15.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Metropol 3.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Cyber Sensation 30.00 1 2-1
3 3 Lady Mondoro 20.00 1 2-1
2 2 Furzy 15.00 1 2-1
7 7 Morning Valentine 15.00 1 2-1
12 12 Banker Nita 30.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Hightail Runaway 15.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Dixie Cat 20.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Lil’ Fancy 10.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Daigle 4.50 1.3 3-1
9 9 Too Pretty 3.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Moonshine Miss 5.00 1.4 3-1
10 10 Lovely Lou 2.50 1.4 3-1
13 13 Alittlebitofsmarty 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Six Fire 15.00 1.2 2-1
9 9 Lady Gusto 3.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Flatoutcountry 12.00 1.6 3-1
11 11 Oh My Oh 6.00 2 4-1
6 6 Summer Lovin 20.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Punish 4.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Competitive Fire 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Elite Song 8.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Haleys Heist 10.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Twirling Around 20.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Dancin in Paradise 4.00 6.5 12-1
13 13 Dulce Ride 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Cherokee Chatter 15.00 12.7 24-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Skyvalue 3.50 1 2-1
5 4 Voila Baby 6.00 1 2-1
6 5 Luscious 30.00 1 2-1
12 11 Minji 6.00 1 2-1
11 10 Dark Sarcasm 30.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Hot Lil Mess 20.00 1.2 2-1
9 8 Liam’s Tempest 4.00 1.2 2-1
10 9 It’s All Cash 15.00 1.2 2-1
8 7 Daring Damsel 20.00 1.3 2-1
7 6 Gold Included 10.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Javistha 15.00 1.3 2-1
13 12 Collude 8.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Master of Domain 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Gray Sky 5.00 0.7 1-1
8 8 Mallard’s Bro 20.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Dangerfield 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Front Door 3.50 2.3 4-1
11 11 Hold On Angel 10.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Chicory Blue 15.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Northernbrilliance 30.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Herbie 10.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Good Good 12.00 6 11-1
2 2 Wickets Way 20.00 7.5 14-1
12 12 Altito 4.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Dr. Hipp 6.00 11.7 22-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Can’t Have Enough 30.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Wild Popit 4.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Urban Light (IRE) 15.00 1.2 2-1
9 9 Soaring Bird 4.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Everfast 4.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Comedian 6.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Locally Owned 15.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Tikhvin Flew 15.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Hersh 10.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Dessman 2.50 9.8 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Count Fleet Sprint H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Manny Wah 30.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Hidden Scroll 4.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Hog Creek Hustle 15.00 1.8 3-1
11 11 Nitrous 20.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Lexitonian 30.00 4 8-1
9 9 Whitmore 2.50 5.4 10-1
4 4 Bobby’s Wicked One 3.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Flagstaff 3.50 6.3 12-1
10 10 Share the Upside 10.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Wendell Fong 30.00 9.2 17-1
6 6 Mr. Jagermeister 15.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 10 Spring in the Wind 20.00 1.1 2-1
11 9 Raintree Starlet 30.00 2 4-1
1 1 Shanghai Tariff 2.50 2.6 5-1
7 6 Honey’s Sox Appeal 30.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Headland 10.00 4.5 9-1
8 7 Heavens Whisper 6.00 4.8 9-1
9 8 Mt. Brave 10.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Liz’s Cable Girl 20.00 6.5 12-1
5 4 Meadow Dance 4.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 My Sister Madi 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Take Charge Angel 12.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Break Even 3.00 11.9 22-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Apple Blossom H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Coldwater 50.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Saracosa 30.00 1.2 2-1
10 10 Cookie Dough 10.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Street Band 15.00 5.4 10-1
12 12 Go Google Yourself 12.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Queen Nekia 20.00 7 13-1
3 3 Awe Emma 20.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Horologist 15.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Ollie’s Candy 12.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Serengeti Empress 4.00 8.5 16-1
13 13 Lady Apple 15.00 9.4 18-1
5 5 Point of Honor 10.00 10.8 20-1
14 14 Ce Ce 3.50 10.9 21-1
4 4 Come Dancing 3.00 13.8 26-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Zero Gravity 12.00 1.1 2-1
11 10 Arrival 15.00 1.4 3-1
12 11 Hawaakom 15.00 1.5 3-1
7 6 Spikes Shirl 15.00 1.7 3-1
13 12 Colonelsdarktemper 20.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Curlin Rules 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Eisenstaedt 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Kurilov (CHI) 3.50 6.8 13-1
5 5 Degrom 6.00 8.9 17-1
6 6 County Court 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Hunka Burning Love 12.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Matrooh 5.00 11 21-1
8 7 Super Dude 6.00 12.3 23-1
1 1 Timeline 4.00 13.7 26-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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