April 18, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Matcha | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Truly | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Raspberry Ballet | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Noble Maria | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Funny Feather | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Gracie’s Dream | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bit Coin Queen | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bettin Onna Kitten | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Capeline | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mixteca | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tiny Turbo | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wicket Hope | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Markistan | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dat Hot Match | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mystic Comin Home | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crystalina | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Personally | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bella Gianna | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Impression Given | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cool Lily Lou | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Powerful Words | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | C Est Fast | 50.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Cat’s Astray | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ballie’s Dream | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Palace Two Step | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shanghai Mistress | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Stated | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Take the Over | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Princess Carrigan | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Play That Tone | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Unbridled Holiday | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Krachenwagen | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chase Runner | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Discreet Heat | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Chaplin | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cool Gizmo | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | El Samuro | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 10 | Coastal Defense | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Holy Meister | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gray’s Fable | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Smirk | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rag Tag | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mauro’s Team | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Ghostlore | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Ghost On a Mission | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Palace Kitten | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Astronaut | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tio Wil | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Big Spender | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Broadway Pete | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flawless Moon | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Not Now Rand | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Poppy’s Destiny | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Poseiden | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Runs North | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | War Act | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4 | Seize the Hay | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Hard Lighting | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Holy Emperor | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Lexatoga | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Turn of Events | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Win d’Oro | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Opus North | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Freedom’s Flight | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 8 | Mecha Corta | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Senzazione | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Distorted Moon | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Guaco | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Carmichael | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | South Sea | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Front Loaded | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brass Compass | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Where Paradise Lay | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vincero | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Noon Time Gem | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hard Belle | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Harryhee | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mintd (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 6 | Art of Almost | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Always Shopping | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Rideforthecause | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High Road | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bienville Street | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Picara | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Bramble Queen | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Zarina | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sean’s Idea | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Dark Artist | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Solar Kitten | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Goodbye Brockley | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Starship Nala | 30.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Leo’s Diamond | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Perfect Revenge | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blood Moon | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gemo | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Causalistic | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Plato | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Like You | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dynadrive | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 8 | Day by Day | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Magic Spell | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Originator | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Bayberry | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | V J’s Bet | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Auramet | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hidden Facts | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Charmaine’s Mia | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Kitten’s Covergirl | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Redeem My Heart | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Lady Grace | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Stylishly | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Celia’s Song | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Nikee Kan | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Sanity | 20.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Starship Daphne | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Rye Street | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mohanna Queen | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Party Dress | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Honest Gal | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rack Daddy | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Upsy Daisy Do | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Arching | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Katniss Kan | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Socially Astray | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.