April 16, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Kayseri | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Strella’s War | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aerodynamic | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jost Sayin | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She Fled the Scene | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Catsoutofthebag | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Centsless Drama | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Gea | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rosa Star | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kisses for Tizzy | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lime | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yafa | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Awesome View | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Quinoa Tifah | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pretzel | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sophisticurl | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kitten’s Dream | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sister Aurora | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Weekend Dreamer | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | More Than Usual | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Violent Fight | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Legendary Prince | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Uno Baby Bird | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Vecchio | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bychance | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Youreoutofcontrol | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nit Pick | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Terry Jade | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Luxe Diamond | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Incredible Miss | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Varsovia | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Take Charge Again | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grey Manners | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Queen Kantharos | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Probably Grace | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cherorama | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chic and Sexy | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crown Real | 50.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Summer in the City | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kahiko | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Mercury | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Marais | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joker Lady | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Fantasy | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | El Scorcho | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Unforeseen | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Please | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Florado | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Noble Enterprise | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Toastnjam | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stormy Derby Day | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | R U Royalty | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Delancey’s Philly | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Miss Cheeny | 50.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Currency | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Joyful Heart | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lookin At Roses | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Conquer | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prince Khozan | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lucky Mike | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Clamor | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Extra Extra | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rhythm With Soul | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Dizzy Sight | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | January Won | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Holy Muchacho | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | Genghis | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | K W Captain Hook | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 7 | Awesome Party | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Big Hambone | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Neverstopdreaming | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 6 | Khozy My Boy | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Chinomado | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Warrant Officer | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hero Up | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | St Joe Viper | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Drama in Dixie | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Earthquake | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scar | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Exatlon | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | All D’ Hype | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Just Kidding | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | R Mercedes Boy | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Charlie the Greek | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Brother | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silverly Enough | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | He Iz Gone | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Loaded | 10.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Unpublished | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Quick Step Ed | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Absolute Grit | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Game Boy Benny | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Quarky | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Celebration (GB) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lord Adare | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Harryhee | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Cucina | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Captain Ron | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ikeisgreat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Trev | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Real Money | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sarasota County | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Long Blade | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Macho Blue | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Factorino | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prince of Thieves | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | French Quarter | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Tiger | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Very Amusing | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Elusive Ro | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Valdocco | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nick the Cardshark | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pass the Gravy | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Li’l Meatball | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gran Malbec | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pachanga Party | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.