April 12, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Grimpante | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Into Fancy | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sunday Scheming | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Inedatequila | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Couple of Nikkis | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | By His Grace | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Toffen | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tokyo | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dona Camile | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Subtle Joy | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Josefa | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Show Maid | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Lake Parima | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Chouchou de Boo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Marianna Queen | 20.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Malibu Too | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Followhisfootsteps | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Strategic Outlook | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Luckytobeinamerica | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American River (VEN) | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | London Werewolf | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Beau Trace | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sighted | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saint Larned | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gran Causeway | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Don Fager | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hollywood Overdogs | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Baba Tobi | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Whiskey Sunrise | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Victory Town | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chinomadito | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bahamian Beat | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Intend | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Halo’s Dance | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tortola Pride | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Saratoga Affair | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pilot Episode | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sixth Street | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Nikki and Papa | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bernie’s Mistress | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Snicket | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Guazza | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Light Up Night | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Girl Herself | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Speed Star | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heir Ball | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bright Venezuelan | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Magic | 1.40 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fiber Optic | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trixie’s Time | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | True Heiress | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pocket of Candy | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Glory Roll | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Maiara | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Follow Me Mom | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Primacy | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prairie Wings | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Risk Model | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sequaya | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jeweled Princess | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mylastfirstkiss | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Loaded | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Naturell (ECU) | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pretty Darling | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Combination | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Karen’s Cove | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pango | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Desert General | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ray’swarrior | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smoke ‘n’ Gloat | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Black Pepper | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Dr Harlan | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charge Card | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tell Me a Story | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Boss Life | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Budget Buster | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Chubby | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dyn | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Le Coste | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Skyray | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sole Seeker | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | See the Pyramids | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Salvaducci | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lovedisc | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cory Gal | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Merseyside | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shes All Woman | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | How Sweep It Is | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bion Magic | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prospective Diva | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Blue Ice | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Meghan | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sir Seamus | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Speed Gracer | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Devoted Kitten | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Machiavelli | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brasstown | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gins and Tins | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bold Paynter | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zippy | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Souper Courage | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Redoute’s Light | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Mighty Judge | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Guacamole | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Baccarat Fashion | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ms Meshak | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flat Awesome Jenny | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Varanasi | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Naked Avenger | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Take Charge Eh | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Freudian Finish | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just Ain’t Right | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gray Owl | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Blazing Desire | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’m More Ready | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Keepsakekitten | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bahamian Park | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sun Squall | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Itsmyluckyknight | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Chasing the Candy | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Shanghai Moon | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | My G P S | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gran Hombre | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Drama in Dixie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Earthquake | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Uyeda | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.