Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 11, 2020

April 11, 2020 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Seaside Surprise 30.00 1.1 2-1
10 10 Westlodge Intrigue 15.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Heart’s Passion 10.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Anita Marie 15.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 A J’s Grand 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Desert Thief 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Gemini Journey 12.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Louise the Laser 6.00 6 11-1
1 1 As Fast as You Can 4.00 6.8 13-1
13 13 Critter 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Smokin Hot Momma 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 C P Quality 4.50 10.3 19-1
12 12 Destiny’s Love 3.50 12.4 23-1
11 11 D’wildcat Indian 15.00 13.6 26-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Boathouse View 6.00 0.5 1-1
7 6 Giro Kate 20.00 0.6 1-1
9 8 Hoptown Honey 15.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Madison Way 3.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Hawt Mess 10.00 2.4 5-1
10 9 Josie the E F Five 10.00 3.3 6-1
11 10 Council Rules 12.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Enjay’s Brass 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 Miss Imperial 3.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Midnight Sway 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Adheretome 4.50 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 You’re in Corey 30.00 1 2-1
7 7 Illuminati 20.00 1 2-1
5 5 Quality Warrior 15.00 1.1 2-1
11 11 League of Legends 15.00 1.1 2-1
10 10 Gambler Rocket 12.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Belfast Boy 10.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Now Tiz Time 6.00 1.1 2-1
9 9 Violent Pass 5.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Oak Room 4.50 1.1 2-1
8 8 Skol Factor 2.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Sailor Chow 12.00 1.3 3-1
12 12 Ideology 20.00 1.4 3-1
13 13 Toussaint 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 J Z My Man 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Warrior’s Map 15.00 1 2-1
2 2 Shooters Shoot 3.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Scabbard 2.50 1.2 2-1
5 5 Blackberry Wine 3.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Fort McHenry 12.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 No Shirt No Shoes 20.00 5 9-1
8 8 Amen Corner 20.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Mo Mosa 15.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Cleon Jones 6.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Woopigsooie 8.00 9.8 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Angel de Cora 15.00 1 2-1
2 2 Millennium Force 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Caged Bear 30.00 1 2-1
5 5 Congratulated 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Casual 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Leggs Galore 30.00 1 2-1
9 8 Signify 15.00 1 2-1
10 9 Nasty 6.00 1 2-1
11 10 Silverbella 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 French Cafe 12.00 1.3 3-1
12 11 Cynical Girl 4.50 1.4 3-1
8 8 Skykat 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Daring Damsel 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Gypsy’s Feather 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Pneumatic 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Giocare 4.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 My Friends Beer 6.00 1.7 3-1
10 9 Strong Tide 30.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Dack Janiel’s 15.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Cyril’s Boy 20.00 5 9-1
2 2 Captain Bombastic 2.50 6.6 13-1
4 4 Fortheluvofbourbon 15.00 9.8 19-1
5 5 Sixto 12.00 9.9 19-1
9 9 Ancient Warrior 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pit Boss 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Feathered Indian 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Tonaltalitarian 8.00 1 2-1
11 11 Earner 2.50 1 2-1
12 12 Beaver Hat 15.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Stock Deal 30.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Pine Knoll 12.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Baker’s Man 20.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Smack Attack 30.00 1.3 2-1
10 10 Shaka 12.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Absolute Unit 4.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Plane Talk 12.00 1.4 3-1
13 13 Unrighteous 2.50 SCRATCH
14 14 No Bad Days 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 All West 20.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Gallant Plunger 8.00 1.3 2-1
6 5 Starship Zeus 15.00 2.1 4-1
10 9 Determinant 6.00 3.7 7-1
9 8 Proverb 4.50 5.1 10-1
11 10 Pickford 3.50 6.2 12-1
1 1 Bandit Point 30.00 6.3 12-1
12 11 I Will Stand 8.00 7 13-1
5 5 Wild Popit 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Overzealous 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 V. I. P. Ticket 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Mo Gotcha 4.00 10.5 20-1
8 7 Promising Shoes 20.00 11.5 22-1
7 6 Fast Talking 12.00 13.7 26-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Oaklawn Mile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Bankit 15.00 1.7 3-1
13 10 Fight On 20.00 2.1 4-1
11 9 Lord Guinness 30.00 2.3 4-1
7 6 Snapper Sinclair 10.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Slick Silver 30.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Boldor 20.00 6.5 12-1
10 8 Long Range Toddy 10.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Pioneer Spirit 6.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 M G Warrior 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Home Run Trick 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Kershaw 20.00 SCRATCH
14 11 Improbable 3.50 10.4 20-1
2 2 Mr. Money 4.00 12.7 24-1
3 3 Tom’s d’Etat 3.00 13.8 26-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 What a Country 8.00 1 2-1
6 5 Ugo 20.00 1 2-1
7 6 Oxide 5.00 1.3 2-1
9 8 Eddy Forever 4.50 1.3 2-1
13 11 Seizetheday Rexy 8.00 1.3 2-1
5 4 Instigated 10.00 1.3 2-1
8 7 Urbanite 10.00 1.3 2-1
10 9 Dean Martini 3.50 1.3 3-1
2 2 The Falcon 12.00 1.3 3-1
12 10 Hunt the Front 6.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Prodigious Bay 20.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Overshadow 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Wartime Hero 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Slew Tang Clan 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Oaklawn S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mr. Big News 30.00 1 2-1
8 8 Taishan 8.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Coach Bahe 20.00 1.4 3-1
10 10 Something Natural 20.00 1.4 3-1
12 12 Farmington Road 6.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Flap Jack 20.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Shoplifted 10.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Digital 8.00 1.5 3-1
11 11 Background 12.00 4.3 8-1
13 13 Gold Street 20.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Sir Rick 15.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Basin 3.50 7.2 14-1
4 4 Thousand Words 2.50 12.7 24-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Jungle Warfare 6.00 1.3 2-1
13 10 High Security 8.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Croatian 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Colonelsdarktemper 20.00 SCRATCH
10 7 Sonny Smack 3.50 6.4 12-1
11 8 Alkhaatam 30.00 6.6 12-1
5 4 Popular Kid 4.50 6.8 13-1
6 5 Exulting 4.00 7.6 14-1
3 2 Hunka Burning Love 15.00 9.4 18-1
4 3 Limonite 8.00 9.9 19-1
8 8 Charlie’sarchangel 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Irish Heatwave 6.00 SCRATCH
9 6 Cashanova 8.00 13.6 26-1
12 9 Two Emmys 12.00 13.7 26-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.