Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 9, 2020

April 9, 2020 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Truly Classic 20.00 1 2-1
10 8 Butyoucalledme 20.00 1 2-1
13 11 Rigmarole 4.50 1.1 2-1
11 9 Lilfeatheredindian 20.00 1.3 2-1
2 1 Rozafa 6.00 1.3 2-1
4 3 Dehydration 8.00 1.3 2-1
12 10 Unsweet Tea 15.00 1.3 2-1
7 5 Mesange 10.00 1.4 3-1
8 6 Every Single Day 3.50 1.4 3-1
3 2 Alena Marie 4.50 1.4 3-1
5 4 Collude 3.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Hot Lil Mess 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Martz’s Mae 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Red Lingerie 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 8 C H Jay 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Babadoook 10.00 1.1 2-1
8 9 Leo Del Reo 6.00 1.1 2-1
2 1 Destinedtobeastar 15.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Smellin Candy 15.00 1.7 3-1
1 3 Cowboy Cactus Jack 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Wasabi Moon 4.00 3 6-1
3 2 Call Me Derby 3.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Drexel 4.50 3.8 7-1
9 10 Moon Dog Spot 20.00 7.1 13-1
10 11 Ordained Cat 15.00 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Campaign Spy 5.00 1.3 3-1
2 2 Hard to Impress 30.00 2 4-1
8 7 Cowboys Dream 3.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 New Year’s Luck 10.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Strong Arm 30.00 2.9 6-1
11 10 Free Indeed 15.00 3.6 7-1
10 9 Negroni Up 20.00 3.9 7-1
12 11 Wrath 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Eskendereyas Dream 3.50 6.2 12-1
7 6 Tracking Gold 4.50 6.4 12-1
6 6 Down Home Kitten 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Napoleon’s Empire 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Chapel Barn 20.00 12.7 24-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Riker 4.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Mostly Sunny 15.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Grey Mask 20.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Iowa Native 20.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Southsider 5.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Dingdingdingding 3.50 6.1 11-1
10 10 Monday Confession 6.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Tre Lee Divine 4.00 8.4 16-1
11 11 Meetme At d’Street 20.00 9.1 17-1
3 3 Meanbone 15.00 9.2 17-1
1 1 Devils Halo 12.00 9.7 18-1
13 13 Lookie Loo 3.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Academy Bay 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 All Shacked Up 15.00 13.7 26-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Dr. Beets 15.00 1 2-1
6 6 To the Front 12.00 1 2-1
11 11 Pack’n Iron 15.00 1 2-1
8 8 Rahaal 6.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Big Headed Baby 12.00 1.3 2-1
10 10 Numidian 20.00 1.3 2-1
12 12 Kinetic Swagger 5.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Tapit On Race Day 8.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Hidden Promise 6.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Runtech 4.00 1.3 2-1
9 9 Rip It Ryan 20.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Time Heist 4.50 1.3 3-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Icecap 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Its My Bag Baby 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Nashvegas 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 Katzarelli 10.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Davidic Line 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Bel Bimbo 6.00 4 8-1
4 4 Artemus Eagle 3.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 River Finn 4.50 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Gypsy Wind 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Baildon 20.00 1 2-1
9 9 Dede’s Trick 20.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Princess Lucky 10.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Lil’ Shopper 20.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Quiet Dawn 6.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Mebs Web 12.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Fiona Power 5.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 C’Est Mardi 6.00 1.3 3-1
10 10 Illusionista 4.00 1.3 3-1
12 12 Chaldea 30.00 1.3 3-1
6 6 House Drunk 8.00 1.4 3-1
13 13 English Escort 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 El Asesino 12.00 0.7 1-1
7 7 Locally Owned 15.00 0.9 2-1
5 5 American Mandate 4.50 1 2-1
9 9 Replete 6.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Tale of Fame 30.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Tuggle 4.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Morning Snow 5.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Union Ride 4.50 8.8 17-1
3 3 Town Champ 3.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Money Well Spent 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Shallow 20.00 1 2-1
9 8 Cavatica 10.00 1 2-1
10 9 Easy Tiger 6.00 1 2-1
12 11 Wild Escape 30.00 1 2-1
4 4 Whoville 20.00 1.3 2-1
11 10 Readyformycloseup 3.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Adhwaa 12.00 1.3 2-1
8 7 Luminaire 5.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Austin’s Gal 6.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Gurl You Fine 4.50 1.3 2-1
7 7 Liam’s Tempest 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Shazzy B 1.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Harbor Sunset 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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